Campo Grande vs Macaé Statistics & Analysis

Campo Grande

Sep 19, 2026 - 17:45

2 1.30

1 1.30

xG Accuracy: 76%

Macaé

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Campo Grande Campo Grande ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8706416

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Campo Grande win · Campo Grande 2–1 Macaé

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Carioca - 2
Fixture: Campo Grande vs Macaé
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 17:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Campo Grande 1.3 — Macaé 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Campo Grande & Macaé!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Carioca - 2 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Duque de Caxias	3	3	0	0	9
2	Artsul	3	2	1	0	7
3	Niteroiense	3	2	1	0	7
4	Campo Grande	3	2	0	1	6
5	Petrópolis	3	1	2	0	5
6	São Cristóvão RJ	4	1	2	1	5
7	Goytacaz	3	1	1	1	4
8	Serrano RJ	3	1	1	1	4
9	Macaé	3	1	0	2	3
10	Nova Cidade	3	0	1	2	1
11	Carapebus	4	0	1	3	1
12	Audax Rio	3	0	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Duque de Caxias	3	8	1	+7	9
2	Artsul	3	5	2	+3	7
3	Campo Grande	3	5	4	+1	6
4	Niteroiense	3	4	1	+3	7
5	Petrópolis	3	3	1	+2	5
6	São Cristóvão RJ	4	3	3	0	5
7	Macaé	3	3	3	0	3
8	Nova Cidade	3	2	6	-4	1
9	Goytacaz	3	1	2	-1	4
10	Serrano RJ	3	1	2	-1	4
11	Carapebus	4	1	6	-5	1
12	Audax Rio	3	0	5	-5	0