Senegal W vs Kenya W Statistics & Analysis

Senegal W

Jul 30, 2026 - 17:00

1 1.37

0 1.23

xG Accuracy: 64%

Kenya W

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Senegal W Senegal W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 01:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1525925

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Senegal W win · Senegal W 1–0 Kenya W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Africa Cup of Nations - Women
Fixture: Senegal W vs Kenya W
Kickoff: 2026-07-30 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Senegal W 1.37 — Kenya W 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Senegal W & Kenya W!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Morocco W	3	2	1	0	7
2	Algeria W	3	2	0	1	6
3	Senegal W	3	1	1	1	4
4	Kenya W	3	0	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Morocco W	3	5	0	+5	7
2	Algeria W	3	4	1	+3	6
3	Senegal W	3	1	2	-1	4
4	Kenya W	3	0	7	-7	0