Statistics / Football / France. National 2 - Group B / Stade Briochin vs Lorient II

Stade Briochin vs Lorient II Statistics & Analysis

Stade Briochin Stade Briochin
Oct 02, 2026 - 17:00
1 1.37
3 1.23
xG Accuracy: 56%
Lorient II Lorient II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Stade Briochin Lorient II ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11256819

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Lorient II win · Stade Briochin 1–3 Lorient II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: National 2 - Group B
  • Fixture: Stade Briochin vs Lorient II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Stade Briochin 1.37 — Lorient II 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
National 2 - Group B National 2 - Group B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Angoulême 6 4 2 0 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 11
5 Dinan Léhon 6 3 2 1 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 9
9 Le Poiré sur Vie 6 3 0 3 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 7
12 Saint-Colomban Locminé 6 1 2 3 5
13 Saumur 6 1 1 4 4
14 Pontivy GSI 6 0 3 3 3
15 Châteaubriant 6 0 3 3 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Angoulême 6 10 4 +6 14
2 Lorient II 6 10 6 +4 9
3 Bayonne 6 9 5 +4 13
4 Granville 6 9 8 +1 11
5 Avranches 6 8 3 +5 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 8 3 +5 11
7 Stade Briochin 6 8 6 +2 9
8 Le Poiré sur Vie 6 8 8 0 9
9 Dinan Léhon 6 5 3 +2 11
10 Les Herbiers 6 5 7 -2 7
11 Pontivy GSI 6 5 10 -5 3
12 Saumur 6 4 10 -6 4
13 Tarbes 6 3 2 +1 9
14 Saint-Colomban Locminé 6 3 5 -2 5
15 Châteaubriant 6 3 10 -7 3
16 Chauray 6 3 11 -8 1
National 2 - Group B France. National 2 - Group B Predictions