Statistics / Football / France. National 2 - Group B / Le Poiré sur Vie vs Châteaubriant

Le Poiré sur Vie vs Châteaubriant Statistics & Analysis

Le Poiré sur Vie Le Poiré sur Vie
Oct 03, 2026 - 16:00
3 1.21
0 1.39
xG Accuracy: 42%
Châteaubriant Châteaubriant
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Châteaubriant Le Poiré sur Vie ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11254204

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Le Poiré sur Vie win · Le Poiré sur Vie 3–0 Châteaubriant
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: National 2 - Group B
  • Fixture: Le Poiré sur Vie vs Châteaubriant
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Le Poiré sur Vie 1.21 — Châteaubriant 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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National 2 - Group B National 2 - Group B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Angoulême 6 4 2 0 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 11
5 Dinan Léhon 6 3 2 1 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 9
9 Le Poiré sur Vie 6 3 0 3 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 7
12 Saint-Colomban Locminé 6 1 2 3 5
13 Saumur 6 1 1 4 4
14 Pontivy GSI 6 0 3 3 3
15 Châteaubriant 6 0 3 3 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Angoulême 6 10 4 +6 14
2 Lorient II 6 10 6 +4 9
3 Bayonne 6 9 5 +4 13
4 Granville 6 9 8 +1 11
5 Avranches 6 8 3 +5 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 8 3 +5 11
7 Stade Briochin 6 8 6 +2 9
8 Le Poiré sur Vie 6 8 8 0 9
9 Dinan Léhon 6 5 3 +2 11
10 Les Herbiers 6 5 7 -2 7
11 Pontivy GSI 6 5 10 -5 3
12 Saumur 6 4 10 -6 4
13 Tarbes 6 3 2 +1 9
14 Saint-Colomban Locminé 6 3 5 -2 5
15 Châteaubriant 6 3 10 -7 3
16 Chauray 6 3 11 -8 1
National 2 - Group B France. National 2 - Group B Predictions