Statistics / Football / France. National 2 - Group B / Dinan Léhon vs Chauray

Dinan Léhon vs Chauray Statistics & Analysis

Dinan Léhon Dinan Léhon
Sep 19, 2026 - 16:00
2 1.29
1 1.31
xG Accuracy: 76%
Chauray Chauray
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Chauray Dinan Léhon ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8702709

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dinan Léhon win · Dinan Léhon 2–1 Chauray
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: National 2 - Group B
  • Fixture: Dinan Léhon vs Chauray
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Dinan Léhon 1.29 — Chauray 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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National 2 - Group B National 2 - Group B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bayonne 5 4 1 0 13
2 Angoulême 5 3 2 0 11
3 Dinan Léhon 5 3 1 1 10
4 Stade Briochin 5 2 3 0 9
5 Granville 5 2 2 1 8
6 Avranches 5 2 2 1 8
7 Tarbes 5 2 2 1 8
8 Saint-Malo 5 2 2 1 8
9 Le Poiré sur Vie 5 2 0 3 6
10 Lorient II 5 2 0 3 6
11 Saint-Colomban Locminé 5 1 2 2 5
12 Les Herbiers 5 1 1 3 4
13 Saumur 5 1 1 3 4
14 Pontivy GSI 5 0 3 2 3
15 Châteaubriant 5 0 3 2 3
16 Chauray 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bayonne 5 9 4 +5 13
2 Angoulême 5 9 4 +5 11
3 Stade Briochin 5 7 3 +4 9
4 Lorient II 5 7 5 +2 6
5 Granville 5 7 7 0 8
6 Saint-Malo 5 6 2 +4 8
7 Avranches 5 6 3 +3 8
8 Dinan Léhon 5 5 3 +2 10
9 Le Poiré sur Vie 5 5 8 -3 6
10 Pontivy GSI 5 5 9 -4 3
11 Les Herbiers 5 4 7 -3 4
12 Tarbes 5 3 2 +1 8
13 Châteaubriant 5 3 7 -4 3
14 Saumur 5 3 8 -5 4
15 Chauray 5 3 9 -6 1
16 Saint-Colomban Locminé 5 2 3 -1 5
National 2 - Group B France. National 2 - Group B Predictions