Statistics / Football / Poland. Central Youth League / Korona Kielce U19 vs Lech Poznań U19

Korona Kielce U19 vs Lech Poznań U19 Statistics & Analysis

Korona Kielce U19 Korona Kielce U19
Oct 10, 2026 - 09:00
2 1.24
2 1.36
xG Accuracy: 68%
Lech Poznań U19 Lech Poznań U19
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Lech Poznań U19 Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13185231

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Korona Kielce U19 2–2 Lech Poznań U19
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Central Youth League
  • Fixture: Korona Kielce U19 vs Lech Poznań U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Korona Kielce U19 1.24 — Lech Poznań U19 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.7% · Probability edge: +11.1 pts · Est. EV: +23.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Central Youth League Central Youth League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Legia Warszawa U19 9 6 2 1 20
2 Miedź Legnica U19 9 6 0 3 18
3 Śląsk Wrocław U19 9 5 3 1 18
4 Górnik Zabrze U19 10 3 5 2 14
5 Wisła Kraków U19 9 3 5 1 14
6 Jagiellonia U19 9 4 2 3 14
7 Raków Częstochowa U19 9 4 1 4 13
8 Zagłębie Lubin U19 8 4 1 3 13
9 Talent Warszawa U19 9 4 0 5 12
10 Polonia Warszawa U19 9 3 2 4 11
11 Arkonia U19 9 2 4 3 10
12 Lech Poznań U19 8 3 0 5 9
13 Korona Kielce U19 9 2 3 4 9
14 Stal Rzeszów U19 9 2 2 5 8
15 Escola Varsovia U19 8 2 1 5 7
16 Arka Gdynia U19 9 1 3 5 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Legia Warszawa U19 9 22 12 +10 20
2 Wisła Kraków U19 9 18 13 +5 14
3 Miedź Legnica U19 9 17 9 +8 18
4 Górnik Zabrze U19 10 17 11 +6 14
5 Raków Częstochowa U19 9 17 13 +4 13
6 Polonia Warszawa U19 9 17 15 +2 11
7 Talent Warszawa U19 9 16 17 -1 12
8 Śląsk Wrocław U19 9 14 7 +7 18
9 Jagiellonia U19 9 14 13 +1 14
10 Zagłębie Lubin U19 8 14 16 -2 13
11 Lech Poznań U19 8 11 15 -4 9
12 Arkonia U19 9 10 13 -3 10
13 Arka Gdynia U19 9 10 19 -9 6
14 Korona Kielce U19 9 9 18 -9 9
15 Stal Rzeszów U19 9 8 15 -7 8
16 Escola Varsovia U19 8 3 11 -8 7
Central Youth League Poland. Central Youth League Predictions