Arka Gdynia U19 vs Stal Rzeszów U19 Statistics & Analysis

Arka Gdynia U19

Oct 10, 2026 - 08:30

2 1.33

3 1.27

xG Accuracy: 52%

Stal Rzeszów U19

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Arka Gdynia U19 Stal Rzeszów U19 ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13184325

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Stal Rzeszów U19 win · Arka Gdynia U19 2–3 Stal Rzeszów U19

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Central Youth League
Fixture: Arka Gdynia U19 vs Stal Rzeszów U19
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 08:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Arka Gdynia U19 1.33 — Stal Rzeszów U19 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Central Youth League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	9	6	2	1	20
2	Miedź Legnica U19	9	6	0	3	18
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	9	5	3	1	18
4	Górnik Zabrze U19	10	3	5	2	14
5	Wisła Kraków U19	9	3	5	1	14
6	Jagiellonia U19	9	4	2	3	14
7	Raków Częstochowa U19	9	4	1	4	13
8	Zagłębie Lubin U19	8	4	1	3	13
9	Talent Warszawa U19	9	4	0	5	12
10	Polonia Warszawa U19	9	3	2	4	11
11	Arkonia U19	9	2	4	3	10
12	Lech Poznań U19	8	3	0	5	9
13	Korona Kielce U19	9	2	3	4	9
14	Stal Rzeszów U19	9	2	2	5	8
15	Escola Varsovia U19	8	2	1	5	7
16	Arka Gdynia U19	9	1	3	5	6

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	9	22	12	+10	20
2	Wisła Kraków U19	9	18	13	+5	14
3	Miedź Legnica U19	9	17	9	+8	18
4	Górnik Zabrze U19	10	17	11	+6	14
5	Raków Częstochowa U19	9	17	13	+4	13
6	Polonia Warszawa U19	9	17	15	+2	11
7	Talent Warszawa U19	9	16	17	-1	12
8	Śląsk Wrocław U19	9	14	7	+7	18
9	Jagiellonia U19	9	14	13	+1	14
10	Zagłębie Lubin U19	8	14	16	-2	13
11	Lech Poznań U19	8	11	15	-4	9
12	Arkonia U19	9	10	13	-3	10
13	Arka Gdynia U19	9	10	19	-9	6
14	Korona Kielce U19	9	9	18	-9	9
15	Stal Rzeszów U19	9	8	15	-7	8
16	Escola Varsovia U19	8	3	11	-8	7