Arkonia U19 vs Wisła Kraków U19 Statistics & Analysis

Arkonia U19

Sep 19, 2026 - 09:45

1 1.34

1 1.26

xG Accuracy: 85%

Wisła Kraków U19

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Arkonia U19 Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 00:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8655903

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Arkonia U19 1–1 Wisła Kraków U19

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Central Youth League
Fixture: Arkonia U19 vs Wisła Kraków U19
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 09:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Arkonia U19 1.34 — Wisła Kraków U19 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Central Youth League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	8	6	2	0	20
2	Śląsk Wrocław U19	8	5	2	1	17
3	Wisła Kraków U19	7	3	3	1	12
4	Talent Warszawa U19	8	4	0	4	12
5	Miedź Legnica U19	7	4	0	3	12
6	Zagłębie Lubin U19	7	4	0	3	12
7	Jagiellonia U19	7	3	2	2	11
8	Raków Częstochowa U19	8	3	1	4	10
9	Lech Poznań U19	7	3	0	4	9
10	Arkonia U19	8	2	3	3	9
11	Górnik Zabrze U19	8	1	5	2	8
12	Stal Rzeszów U19	8	2	2	4	8
13	Korona Kielce U19	7	2	2	3	8
14	Polonia Warszawa U19	7	2	1	4	7
15	Arka Gdynia U19	8	1	3	4	6
16	Escola Varsovia U19	7	2	0	5	6

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Legia Warszawa U19	8	20	9	+11	20
2	Raków Częstochowa U19	8	16	13	+3	10
3	Talent Warszawa U19	8	16	15	+1	12
4	Wisła Kraków U19	7	13	8	+5	12
5	Śląsk Wrocław U19	8	12	5	+7	17
6	Jagiellonia U19	7	12	9	+3	11
7	Zagłębie Lubin U19	7	12	14	-2	12
8	Polonia Warszawa U19	7	11	10	+1	7
9	Lech Poznań U19	7	11	12	-1	9
10	Arka Gdynia U19	8	9	14	-5	6
11	Miedź Legnica U19	7	8	8	0	12
12	Górnik Zabrze U19	8	8	10	-2	8
13	Arkonia U19	8	8	11	-3	9
14	Korona Kielce U19	7	8	12	-4	8
15	Stal Rzeszów U19	8	8	14	-6	8
16	Escola Varsovia U19	7	3	11	-8	6