FC Emmelshausen-Karbach vs Gau-Odernheim Statistics & Analysis

FC Emmelshausen-Karbach

Oct 10, 2026 - 13:30

2 1.39

0 1.21

xG Accuracy: 61%

Gau-Odernheim

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 FC Emmelshausen-Karbach FC Emmelshausen-Karbach ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13220273

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result FC Emmelshausen-Karbach win · FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 2–0 Gau-Odernheim

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Fixture: FC Emmelshausen-Karbach vs Gau-Odernheim
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 1.39 — Gau-Odernheim 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Mechtersheim	11	7	1	3	22
2	TuS Koblenz	11	6	3	2	21
3	Schott Mainz	11	5	5	1	20
4	Gau-Odernheim	10	6	2	2	20
5	Gonsenheim	11	6	1	4	19
6	Pirmasens	11	5	3	3	18
7	FV Engers 07	11	5	3	3	18
8	RW Wittlich	10	5	2	3	17
9	Wormatia Worms	11	5	2	4	17
10	TuS RW Koblenz	11	4	5	2	17
11	Auersmacher	11	5	0	6	15
12	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	11	4	3	4	15
13	Cosmos Koblenz	11	4	1	6	13
14	Elversberg II	11	3	4	4	13
15	Hertha Wiesbach	11	3	3	5	12
16	Ahrweiler	11	1	4	6	7
17	Diefflen	11	1	3	7	6
18	Eisbachtal	11	0	1	10	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Pirmasens	11	30	19	+11	18
2	Mechtersheim	11	28	19	+9	22
3	Wormatia Worms	11	28	22	+6	17
4	Gonsenheim	11	27	14	+13	19
5	RW Wittlich	10	27	20	+7	17
6	FV Engers 07	11	26	22	+4	18
7	Schott Mainz	11	24	12	+12	20
8	Gau-Odernheim	10	23	11	+12	20
9	TuS RW Koblenz	11	21	16	+5	17
10	Auersmacher	11	21	24	-3	15
11	TuS Koblenz	11	20	14	+6	21
12	Cosmos Koblenz	11	20	23	-3	13
13	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	11	19	25	-6	15
14	Hertha Wiesbach	11	17	26	-9	12
15	Elversberg II	11	15	20	-5	13
16	Diefflen	11	12	33	-21	6
17	Ahrweiler	11	10	19	-9	7
18	Eisbachtal	11	5	34	-29	1