FC Emmelshausen-Karbach vs Eisbachtal Statistics & Analysis

FC Emmelshausen-Karbach

Aug 01, 2026 - 11:30

3 1.39

1 1.21

xG Accuracy: 61%

Eisbachtal

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 FC Emmelshausen-Karbach FC Emmelshausen-Karbach ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1793734

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result FC Emmelshausen-Karbach win · FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 3–1 Eisbachtal

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Fixture: FC Emmelshausen-Karbach vs Eisbachtal
Kickoff: 2026-08-01 11:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): FC Emmelshausen-Karbach 1.39 — Eisbachtal 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Mechtersheim	10	7	0	3	21
2	Schott Mainz	10	5	4	1	19
3	Gau-Odernheim	9	6	1	2	19
4	FV Engers 07	10	5	3	2	18
5	Pirmasens	10	5	2	3	17
6	TuS Koblenz	10	5	2	3	17
7	Gonsenheim	10	5	1	4	16
8	RW Wittlich	9	5	1	3	16
9	Wormatia Worms	10	5	1	4	16
10	TuS RW Koblenz	10	4	4	2	16
11	Auersmacher	10	5	0	5	15
12	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	10	4	2	4	14
13	Elversberg II	10	3	3	4	12
14	Hertha Wiesbach	10	3	2	5	11
15	Cosmos Koblenz	10	3	1	6	10
16	Diefflen	10	2	1	7	7
17	Ahrweiler	10	1	3	6	6
18	Eisbachtal	10	0	1	9	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Pirmasens	10	29	18	+11	17
2	Mechtersheim	10	26	17	+9	21
3	RW Wittlich	9	26	19	+7	16
4	Wormatia Worms	10	26	20	+6	16
5	FV Engers 07	10	25	16	+9	18
6	Schott Mainz	10	23	11	+12	19
7	Gau-Odernheim	9	22	10	+12	19
8	Gonsenheim	10	21	13	+8	16
9	Auersmacher	10	20	21	-1	15
10	TuS RW Koblenz	10	19	14	+5	16
11	TuS Koblenz	10	18	15	+3	17
12	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	10	18	24	-6	14
13	Cosmos Koblenz	10	17	22	-5	10
14	Hertha Wiesbach	10	16	25	-9	11
15	Diefflen	10	14	33	-19	7
16	Elversberg II	10	13	18	-5	12
17	Ahrweiler	10	9	18	-9	6
18	Eisbachtal	10	3	31	-28	1