Statistics / Football / Portugal. Liga Revelação U23 / Felgueiras U23 vs Estrela U23

Felgueiras U23 vs Estrela U23 Statistics & Analysis

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Felgueiras U23
Oct 06, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.38
1 1.22
xG Accuracy: 60%
Estrela U23 Estrela U23
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Felgueiras U23 Felgueiras U23 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 30, 2026 · 01:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11911611

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Felgueiras U23 win · Felgueiras U23 3–1 Estrela U23
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga Revelação U23
  • Fixture: Felgueiras U23 vs Estrela U23
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-06 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Felgueiras U23 1.38 — Estrela U23 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.0% · Probability edge: +4.8 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga Revelação U23 Liga Revelação U23 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 13
4 Rio Ave U23 6 3 2 1 11
5 Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11
6 Sporting Braga U23 7 2 4 1 10
7 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 10
8 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10
9 Santa Clara U23 4 2 2 0 8
10 Felgueiras U23 6 2 2 2 8
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 8
12 Famalicão U23 7 2 2 3 8
13 Moreirense U23 6 1 4 1 7
14 União Leiria U23 6 2 1 3 7
15 Leixões U23 7 1 3 3 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 5
18 Estrela U23 6 1 2 3 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4
20 Marítimo U23 7 0 3 4 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Estoril U23 7 16 12 +4 13
2 Sporting CP U23 7 15 9 +6 15
3 Academico Viseu U23 7 14 10 +4 14
4 Famalicão U23 7 13 15 -2 8
5 Leixões U23 7 12 12 0 6
6 Sporting Braga U23 7 11 9 +2 10
7 Farense U23 7 11 11 0 11
8 Benfica U23 7 10 9 +1 10
9 Felgueiras U23 6 9 8 +1 8
10 Moreirense U23 6 9 8 +1 7
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 9 10 -1 8
12 Penafiel U23 7 9 11 -2 5
13 Torreense U23 6 9 12 -3 6
14 Vizela U23 6 8 6 +2 10
15 Rio Ave U23 6 7 4 +3 11
16 União Leiria U23 6 6 7 -1 7
17 Estrela U23 6 5 10 -5 5
18 Marítimo U23 7 5 12 -7 3
19 Santa Clara U23 4 4 2 +2 8
20 Portimonense U23 7 4 9 -5 4
Liga Revelação U23 Portugal. Liga Revelação U23 Predictions