Statistics / Football / Thailand. Thai League 1 / Buriram United vs Rayong FC

Buriram United vs Rayong FC Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 11:30
3 1.67
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Buriram United Buriram United ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13193340

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Buriram United win · Buriram United 3–2 Rayong FC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Thai League 1
  • Fixture: Buriram United vs Rayong FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.1% · Draw 27.0% · Away 28.0%
  • xG (showing): Buriram United 1.67 — Rayong FC 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.95)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Thai League 1 Thai League 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Buriram United 3 2 1 0 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 6
5 Bangkok United 3 2 0 1 6
6 Port FC 3 2 0 1 6
7 Ayutthaya FC 3 2 0 1 6
8 Bangkok Glass 3 1 1 1 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 4
10 Chiangrai United 3 1 1 1 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 4
12 Sukhothai FC 3 1 0 2 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 3
14 Rasi Salai United 3 0 1 2 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 1
16 Chonburi FC 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Uthai Thani 3 7 4 +3 6
2 Bangkok United 3 6 4 +2 6
3 Buriram United 3 5 2 +3 7
4 Rayong FC 3 5 3 +2 7
5 Port FC 3 5 4 +1 6
6 Bangkok Glass 3 5 5 0 4
7 Prachuap 3 4 1 +3 6
8 Ayutthaya FC 3 4 3 +1 6
9 Rasi Salai United 3 4 6 -2 1
10 Ratchaburi 3 3 3 0 4
11 Sukhothai FC 3 3 5 -2 3
12 Lamphun Warrior 3 3 7 -4 1
13 Chiangrai United 3 2 2 0 4
14 Pattani 3 2 4 -2 4
15 Sisaket United 3 2 4 -2 3
16 Chonburi FC 3 2 5 -3 0
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Buriram United 3 3.1 0.3 +2.8 7
2 Ratchaburi 3 2.1 0.8 +1.3 4
3 Bangkok Glass 3 1.3 0.3 +1.0 4
4 Uthai Thani 3 2.1 1.9 +0.2 6
5 Rasi Salai United 3 1.9 2.1 -0.2 1
6 Ayutthaya FC 3 0.3 1.3 -1.0 6
7 Sukhothai FC 3 0.8 2.1 -1.3 3
8 Rayong FC 3 0.3 3.1 -2.8 7
9 Prachuap 3 — — — 6
10 Bangkok United 3 — — — 6
11 Port FC 3 — — — 6
12 Chiangrai United 3 — — — 4
13 Pattani 3 — — — 4
14 Sisaket United 3 — — — 3
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 — — — 1
16 Chonburi FC 3 — — — 0