Bangkok United vs Bangkok Glass Statistics & Analysis

Bangkok United

Sep 20, 2026 - 12:00

3 1.35

2 0.87

xG Accuracy: 47%

Bangkok Glass

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Bangkok United Bangkok United ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 2-0, 0-1 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8666663

Closing Odds 3.13

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Bangkok United win · Bangkok United 3–2 Bangkok Glass

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 11.1 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Bangkok United (1X2)	46.3	47.0	-0.7
Draw (1X2)	31.2	30.0	+1.2
Bangkok Glass (1X2)	22.5	23.0	-0.6
Over 2.5 goals	38.3	49.4	-11.1
Under 2.5 goals	61.7	50.6	+11.1

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 61.7% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 50.6%. The difference — about 11.1 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
Bangkok United (1X2)	2.0	2.0
Draw (1X2)	3.13	3.13
Bangkok Glass (1X2)	4.08	4.08
Over 2.5 goals	1.94	1.94
Under 2.5 goals	1.89	1.89

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Thai League 1
Fixture: Bangkok United vs Bangkok Glass
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 46.3% · Draw 31.2% · Away 22.5%
xG (showing): Bangkok United 1.35 — Bangkok Glass 0.87 (total xG ≈ 2.22)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS No
Model: 55.3% · Implied: 44.9% · Probability edge: +10.4 pts · Est. EV: +18.9%
BTTS (model): Yes 44.7% · No 55.3%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (14.7%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Thai League 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Buriram United	3	2	1	0	7
2	Rayong FC	3	2	1	0	7
3	Uthai Thani	3	2	0	1	6
4	Prachuap	3	2	0	1	6
5	Bangkok United	3	2	0	1	6
6	Port FC	3	2	0	1	6
7	Ayutthaya FC	3	2	0	1	6
8	Bangkok Glass	3	1	1	1	4
9	Ratchaburi	3	1	1	1	4
10	Chiangrai United	3	1	1	1	4
11	Pattani	3	1	1	1	4
12	Sukhothai FC	3	1	0	2	3
13	Sisaket United	3	1	0	2	3
14	Rasi Salai United	3	0	1	2	1
15	Lamphun Warrior	3	0	1	2	1
16	Chonburi FC	3	0	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Uthai Thani	3	7	4	+3	6
2	Bangkok United	3	6	4	+2	6
3	Buriram United	3	5	2	+3	7
4	Rayong FC	3	5	3	+2	7
5	Port FC	3	5	4	+1	6
6	Bangkok Glass	3	5	5	0	4
7	Prachuap	3	4	1	+3	6
8	Ayutthaya FC	3	4	3	+1	6
9	Rasi Salai United	3	4	6	-2	1
10	Ratchaburi	3	3	3	0	4
11	Sukhothai FC	3	3	5	-2	3
12	Lamphun Warrior	3	3	7	-4	1
13	Chiangrai United	3	2	2	0	4
14	Pattani	3	2	4	-2	4
15	Sisaket United	3	2	4	-2	3
16	Chonburi FC	3	2	5	-3	0