Statistics / Football / Thailand. Thai League 1 / Sisaket United vs Ayutthaya FC

Sisaket United vs Ayutthaya FC Statistics & Analysis

Sisaket United Sisaket United
Sep 12, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 64%
Ayutthaya FC Ayutthaya FC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sisaket United Ayutthaya FC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 00:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7422903

Closing Odds 2.7
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Ayutthaya FC win · Sisaket United 0–1 Ayutthaya FC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Sisaket United (1X2) 38.5 37.2 +1.2
Draw (1X2) 29.6 28.4 +1.1
Ayutthaya FC (1X2) 31.9 34.3 -2.4
Over 2.5 goals 48.2 49.2 -1.0
Under 2.5 goals 51.8 50.8 +1.0

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Sisaket United (1X2) 2.49 2.49 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.26 3.26 0.0
Ayutthaya FC (1X2) 2.7 2.7 0.0
Over 2.5 goals 1.93 1.93 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 1.87 1.87 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Thai League 1
  • Fixture: Sisaket United vs Ayutthaya FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Sisaket United 1.37 — Ayutthaya FC 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Thai League 1 Thai League 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Buriram United 3 2 1 0 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 6
5 Bangkok United 3 2 0 1 6
6 Port FC 3 2 0 1 6
7 Ayutthaya FC 3 2 0 1 6
8 Bangkok Glass 3 1 1 1 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 4
10 Chiangrai United 3 1 1 1 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 4
12 Sukhothai FC 3 1 0 2 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 3
14 Rasi Salai United 3 0 1 2 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 1
16 Chonburi FC 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Uthai Thani 3 7 4 +3 6
2 Bangkok United 3 6 4 +2 6
3 Buriram United 3 5 2 +3 7
4 Rayong FC 3 5 3 +2 7
5 Port FC 3 5 4 +1 6
6 Bangkok Glass 3 5 5 0 4
7 Prachuap 3 4 1 +3 6
8 Ayutthaya FC 3 4 3 +1 6
9 Rasi Salai United 3 4 6 -2 1
10 Ratchaburi 3 3 3 0 4
11 Sukhothai FC 3 3 5 -2 3
12 Lamphun Warrior 3 3 7 -4 1
13 Chiangrai United 3 2 2 0 4
14 Pattani 3 2 4 -2 4
15 Sisaket United 3 2 4 -2 3
16 Chonburi FC 3 2 5 -3 0