Statistics / Football / Qatar. Stars League / Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC

Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC Statistics & Analysis

Al Shamal Al Shamal
Oct 08, 2026 - 14:45
0 1.28
4 1.32
xG Accuracy: 34%
Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 01:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12429628

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Al-Duhail SC win · Al Shamal 0–4 Al-Duhail SC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Stars League
  • Fixture: Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-08 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Al Shamal 1.28 — Al-Duhail SC 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.4% · Probability edge: +9.5 pts · Est. EV: +19.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Stars League Stars League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al-Rayyan SC 5 4 1 0 13
2 Al Sadd 5 4 0 1 12
3 Al-Duhail SC 5 2 3 0 9
4 Al-Arabi SC 5 2 3 0 9
5 Al Shamal 5 2 2 1 8
6 Al Ahli Doha 5 2 1 2 7
7 Al Shahaniya 5 2 1 2 7
8 Lusail City 5 1 2 2 5
9 Al Wakrah 5 1 2 2 5
10 Al-Gharafa 5 1 1 3 4
11 Qatar SC 5 0 2 3 2
12 Al-Sailiya 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al Sadd 5 21 10 +11 12
2 Al-Rayyan SC 5 10 2 +8 13
3 Al Ahli Doha 5 10 9 +1 7
4 Al Shamal 5 10 10 0 8
5 Al-Duhail SC 5 9 3 +6 9
6 Al-Arabi SC 5 8 5 +3 9
7 Al Shahaniya 5 8 9 -1 7
8 Lusail City 5 7 5 +2 5
9 Al Wakrah 5 7 11 -4 5
10 Al-Gharafa 5 6 11 -5 4
11 Al-Sailiya 5 5 18 -13 0
12 Qatar SC 5 4 12 -8 2
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Al Sadd 5 2.0 0.8 +1.2 12
2 Al Ahli Doha 5 1.6 0.7 +0.9 7
3 Qatar SC 5 1.8 1.1 +0.7 2
4 Lusail City 5 1.0 0.9 +0.1 5
5 Al Shahaniya 5 0.9 1.0 -0.1 7
6 Al-Rayyan SC 5 1.1 1.8 -0.7 13
7 Al-Sailiya 5 0.7 1.6 -0.9 0
8 Al-Arabi SC 5 0.8 2.0 -1.2 9
9 Al-Duhail SC 5 — — — 9
10 Al Shamal 5 — — — 8
11 Al Wakrah 5 — — — 5
12 Al-Gharafa 5 — — — 4
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