Statistics / Football / Qatar. Stars League / Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC

Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC Statistics & Analysis

Al Sadd Al Sadd
Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.47
3 1.14
xG Accuracy: 52%
Al-Arabi SC Al-Arabi SC
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Al Sadd Al-Arabi SC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 01:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12429028

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Al-Arabi SC win · Al Sadd 2–3 Al-Arabi SC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Stars League
  • Fixture: Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 48.1% · Draw 26.3% · Away 25.5%
  • xG (showing): Al Sadd 1.47 — Al-Arabi SC 1.14 (total xG ≈ 2.61)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.6% · Implied: 27.3% · Probability edge: +24.3 pts · Est. EV: +86.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Al Sadd & Al-Arabi SC!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Stars League Stars League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al Sadd 4 4 0 0 12
2 Al-Rayyan SC 4 3 1 0 10
3 Al Shamal 4 2 2 0 8
4 Al-Arabi SC 4 1 3 0 6
5 Al-Duhail SC 4 1 3 0 6
6 Lusail City 4 1 2 1 5
7 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 4
8 Al Ahli Doha 4 1 1 2 4
9 Al-Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 2
11 Al Wakrah 4 0 2 2 2
12 Al-Sailiya 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al Sadd 4 19 7 +12 12
2 Al Shamal 4 10 6 +4 8
3 Al-Rayyan SC 4 7 2 +5 10
4 Lusail City 4 7 4 +3 5
5 Al Shahaniya 4 7 9 -2 4
6 Al-Arabi SC 4 5 3 +2 6
7 Al-Duhail SC 4 5 3 +2 6
8 Al Ahli Doha 4 5 9 -4 4
9 Al-Sailiya 4 5 13 -8 0
10 Al-Gharafa 4 4 8 -4 4
11 Qatar SC 4 4 9 -5 2
12 Al Wakrah 4 4 9 -5 2
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Al Sadd 4 2.0 0.8 +1.2 12
2 Al Ahli Doha 4 1.6 0.6 +1.0 4
3 Qatar SC 4 1.8 1.1 +0.7 2
4 Lusail City 4 1.0 0.9 +0.1 5
5 Al Shahaniya 4 0.9 1.0 -0.1 4
6 Al-Rayyan SC 4 1.1 1.8 -0.7 10
7 Al-Sailiya 4 0.6 1.6 -1.0 0
8 Al-Arabi SC 4 0.8 2.0 -1.2 6
9 Al Shamal 4 — — — 8
10 Al-Duhail SC 4 — — — 6
11 Al-Gharafa 4 — — — 4
12 Al Wakrah 4 — — — 2
Stars League Qatar. Stars League Predictions