Statistics / Football / England. Non League Premier - Southern South / Yate Town vs Berkhamsted

Yate Town vs Berkhamsted Statistics & Analysis

Yate Town Yate Town
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.29
3 1.31
xG Accuracy: 44%
Berkhamsted Berkhamsted
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Berkhamsted Berkhamsted ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13232156

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Berkhamsted win · Yate Town 0–3 Berkhamsted
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Non League Premier - Southern South
  • Fixture: Yate Town vs Berkhamsted
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Yate Town 1.29 — Berkhamsted 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 48.8% · Probability edge: +3.0 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Non League Premier - Southern South Non League Premier - Southern South — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 20
2 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 20
3 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 19
4 Poole Town 9 6 0 3 18
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 13
10 Evesham United 9 4 1 4 13
11 Berkhamsted 10 4 1 5 13
12 Wimborne Town 8 3 3 2 12
13 Gosport Borough 9 3 3 3 12
14 Yate Town 9 3 3 3 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 10
17 Basingstoke Town 9 2 3 4 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7
21 Havant & Wville 9 1 2 6 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Plymouth Parkway 9 23 8 +15 20
2 Taunton Town 9 23 22 +1 13
3 Chertsey Town 9 20 15 +5 14
4 Uxbridge 9 19 8 +11 20
5 Hanworth Villa 9 17 8 +9 19
6 Frome Town 10 17 13 +4 15
7 Poole Town 9 14 11 +3 18
8 Chichester City 9 14 16 -2 13
9 Basingstoke Town 9 14 16 -2 9
10 Evesham United 9 14 17 -3 13
11 Bath City 9 13 8 +5 17
12 Yate Town 9 13 18 -5 12
13 Malvern Town 9 13 25 -12 5
14 Gosport Borough 9 12 10 +2 12
15 Gloucester City 9 12 17 -5 7
16 Berkhamsted 10 11 14 -3 13
17 Bracknell Town 9 11 18 -7 11
18 Wimborne Town 8 10 4 +6 12
19 Sholing 8 9 12 -3 10
20 Havant & Wville 9 9 16 -7 5
21 Hanwell Town 8 7 10 -3 7
22 Chippenham Town 8 7 16 -9 7
Non League Premier - Southern South England. Non League Premier - Southern South Predictions