Poole Town vs Bracknell Town Statistics & Analysis

Poole Town

Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.35

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 64%

Bracknell Town

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Poole Town Poole Town ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13231985

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Poole Town win · Poole Town 1–0 Bracknell Town

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Non League Premier - Southern South
Fixture: Poole Town vs Bracknell Town
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Poole Town 1.35 — Bracknell Town 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Non League Premier - Southern South — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Plymouth Parkway	9	6	2	1	20
2	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	20
3	Hanworth Villa	9	6	1	2	19
4	Poole Town	9	6	0	3	18
5	Bath City	9	5	2	2	17
6	Frome Town	10	4	3	3	15
7	Chertsey Town	9	4	2	3	14
8	Taunton Town	9	4	1	4	13
9	Chichester City	9	4	1	4	13
10	Evesham United	9	4	1	4	13
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	13
12	Wimborne Town	8	3	3	2	12
13	Gosport Borough	9	3	3	3	12
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	12
15	Bracknell Town	9	3	2	4	11
16	Sholing	8	3	1	4	10
17	Basingstoke Town	9	2	3	4	9
18	Hanwell Town	8	1	4	3	7
19	Gloucester City	9	1	4	4	7
20	Chippenham Town	8	2	1	5	7
21	Havant & Wville	9	1	2	6	5
22	Malvern Town	9	1	2	6	5

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Plymouth Parkway	9	23	8	+15	20
2	Taunton Town	9	23	22	+1	13
3	Chertsey Town	9	20	15	+5	14
4	Uxbridge	9	19	8	+11	20
5	Hanworth Villa	9	17	8	+9	19
6	Frome Town	10	17	13	+4	15
7	Poole Town	9	14	11	+3	18
8	Chichester City	9	14	16	-2	13
9	Basingstoke Town	9	14	16	-2	9
10	Evesham United	9	14	17	-3	13
11	Bath City	9	13	8	+5	17
12	Yate Town	9	13	18	-5	12
13	Malvern Town	9	13	25	-12	5
14	Gosport Borough	9	12	10	+2	12
15	Gloucester City	9	12	17	-5	7
16	Berkhamsted	10	11	14	-3	13
17	Bracknell Town	9	11	18	-7	11
18	Wimborne Town	8	10	4	+6	12
19	Sholing	8	9	12	-3	10
20	Havant & Wville	9	9	16	-7	5
21	Hanwell Town	8	7	10	-3	7
22	Chippenham Town	8	7	16	-9	7