Avro vs Guiseley AFC Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.33
1 1.27
xG Accuracy: 64%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Avro Guiseley AFC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13230469

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Guiseley AFC win · Avro 0–1 Guiseley AFC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Non League Premier - Northern
  • Fixture: Avro vs Guiseley AFC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Avro 1.33 — Guiseley AFC 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.9% · Probability edge: +7.9 pts · Est. EV: +12.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Non League Premier - Northern Non League Premier - Northern — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Cleethorpes Town 13 9 3 1 30
2 Redcar Athletic 13 8 4 1 28
3 Guiseley AFC 12 8 1 3 25
4 Avro 11 8 1 2 25
5 Curzon Ashton 11 7 1 3 22
6 Workington 13 6 3 4 21
7 Rylands 13 6 2 5 20
8 Bury 11 6 1 4 19
9 Gainsborough Trinity 11 6 1 4 19
10 Warrington Town 11 5 4 2 19
11 Alfreton Town 13 6 0 7 18
12 Lancaster City 13 5 2 6 17
13 Hyde United 13 4 2 7 14
14 Ashton United 11 3 4 4 13
15 Quorn 12 3 4 5 13
16 Whitby Town 12 4 1 7 13
17 Stockton Town 13 3 3 7 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 11
19 AFC Emley 12 2 4 6 10
20 Bamber Bridge 12 2 4 6 10
21 Ilkeston Town 13 2 1 10 7
22 United of Manchester 11 1 3 7 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Avro 11 33 20 +13 25
2 Cleethorpes Town 13 30 7 +23 30
3 Redcar Athletic 13 28 11 +17 28
4 Guiseley AFC 12 25 11 +14 25
5 Leek Town 12 24 25 -1 11
6 Curzon Ashton 11 23 11 +12 22
7 Workington 13 23 22 +1 21
8 Bury 11 22 11 +11 19
9 Gainsborough Trinity 11 22 15 +7 19
10 Warrington Town 11 22 18 +4 19
11 Quorn 12 21 27 -6 13
12 Alfreton Town 13 20 16 +4 18
13 Rylands 13 20 20 0 20
14 Lancaster City 13 18 26 -8 17
15 Stockton Town 13 17 24 -7 12
16 Whitby Town 12 17 32 -15 13
17 Bamber Bridge 12 16 31 -15 10
18 Ashton United 11 14 13 +1 13
19 United of Manchester 11 14 22 -8 6
20 Hyde United 13 13 23 -10 14
21 AFC Emley 12 11 24 -13 10
22 Ilkeston Town 13 7 31 -24 7