FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Fortuna Köln U19 Statistics & Analysis

FSV Frankfurt U19

Oct 03, 2026 - 10:00

1 1.27

1 1.33

xG Accuracy: 85%

Fortuna Köln U19

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Fortuna Köln U19 Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11220107

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · FSV Frankfurt U19 1–1 Fortuna Köln U19

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: U19 Bundesliga
Fixture: FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Fortuna Köln U19
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): FSV Frankfurt U19 1.27 — Fortuna Köln U19 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 28.2% · Probability edge: +23.6 pts · Est. EV: +65.8%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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