Statistics / Football / Germany. U19 Bundesliga / Hansa Rostock U19 vs Magdeburg U19

Hansa Rostock U19 vs Magdeburg U19 Statistics & Analysis

Hansa Rostock U19 Hansa Rostock U19
Oct 10, 2026 - 09:00
3 1.33
4 1.27
xG Accuracy: 30%
Magdeburg U19 Magdeburg U19
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Hansa Rostock U19 Magdeburg U19 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13185141

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Magdeburg U19 win · Hansa Rostock U19 3–4 Magdeburg U19
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: U19 Bundesliga
  • Fixture: Hansa Rostock U19 vs Magdeburg U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Hansa Rostock U19 1.33 — Magdeburg U19 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 23.6% · Probability edge: +28.2 pts · Est. EV: +101.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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