Deportivo Binacional vs Minas Statistics & Analysis

Deportivo Binacional

Aug 07, 2026 - 18:00

1 1.31

8 1.29

xG Accuracy: 14%

Minas

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Deportivo Binacional Minas ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-8 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 02:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2681069

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Minas win · Deportivo Binacional 1–8 Minas

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Segunda División
Fixture: Deportivo Binacional vs Minas
Kickoff: 2026-08-07 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): Deportivo Binacional 1.31 — Minas 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Segunda División — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Union Comercio	16	9	5	2	32
2	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	9	3	4	30
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	8	4	4	28
4	Molinos El Pirata	16	7	4	5	25
5	U. San Martin	16	7	3	6	24
6	Deportiva Agropecuaria	15	5	6	4	21
7	Cesar Vallejo	15	5	4	6	19
8	Academia Cantolao	16	3	5	8	14
9	San Marcos	14	0	0	14	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	U. San Martin	16	26	17	+9	24
2	Molinos El Pirata	16	25	20	+5	25
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	23	10	+13	28
4	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	22	12	+10	30
5	Union Comercio	16	19	5	+14	32
6	Academia Cantolao	16	19	30	-11	14
7	Deportiva Agropecuaria	15	14	12	+2	21
8	Cesar Vallejo	15	14	13	+1	19
9	San Marcos	14	1	44	-43	0