Statistics / Football / Croatia. Second NL / Slavonija Požega vs Lucko

Slavonija Požega vs Lucko Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 13:30
2 1.35
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 59%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Slavonija Požega Slavonija Požega ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11238621

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Slavonija Požega win · Slavonija Požega 2–0 Lucko
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Second NL
  • Fixture: Slavonija Požega vs Lucko
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Slavonija Požega 1.35 — Lucko 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.5% · Probability edge: +5.3 pts · Est. EV: +6.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Second NL Second NL — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Dugo Selo 8 5 1 2 16
2 Uskok Klis 7 5 0 2 15
3 Bjelovar 8 4 2 2 14
4 Uljanik 8 4 2 2 14
5 Jarun 7 3 4 0 13
6 Trnje 8 4 1 3 13
7 Solin 8 3 3 2 12
8 Inter Zapresic 8 3 2 3 11
9 Zagora 8 2 4 2 10
10 Križevci 8 3 1 4 10
11 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 8 3 1 4 10
12 Slavonija Požega 8 2 3 3 9
13 Lucko 8 2 2 4 8
14 Grobničan Čavle 8 2 2 4 8
15 Koprivnica 8 1 2 5 5
16 Varteks Varaždin 8 1 2 5 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zagora 8 19 18 +1 10
2 Uskok Klis 7 18 7 +11 15
3 Bjelovar 8 17 12 +5 14
4 Uljanik 8 17 16 +1 14
5 Jarun 7 15 10 +5 13
6 Slavonija Požega 8 15 15 0 9
7 Dugo Selo 8 14 7 +7 16
8 Trnje 8 13 9 +4 13
9 Solin 8 12 10 +2 12
10 Inter Zapresic 8 11 12 -1 11
11 Križevci 8 11 14 -3 10
12 Grobničan Čavle 8 10 18 -8 8
13 Koprivnica 8 10 19 -9 5
14 Lucko 8 9 11 -2 8
15 Hrvatski Dragovoljac 8 9 13 -4 10
16 Varteks Varaždin 8 5 14 -9 5