Statistics / Football / Egypt. Second League / El Mansura vs AL Nasr SC

El Mansura vs AL Nasr SC Statistics & Analysis

El Mansura El Mansura
Oct 15, 2026 - 12:30
1 1.28
2 1.32
xG Accuracy: 77%
AL Nasr SC AL Nasr SC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 AL Nasr SC AL Nasr SC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 09, 2026 · 01:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-14188201

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result AL Nasr SC win · El Mansura 1–2 AL Nasr SC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Second League
  • Fixture: El Mansura vs AL Nasr SC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-15 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): El Mansura 1.28 — AL Nasr SC 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 38.5% · Probability edge: +9.7 pts · Est. EV: +20.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Second League Second League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Masar 8 6 1 1 19
2 Haras El Hodood 9 5 4 0 19
3 Itesalat 9 6 0 3 18
4 Kahraba Ismailia 9 5 2 2 17
5 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 8 5 2 1 17
6 AL Nasr SC 9 4 4 1 16
7 Pharco 8 5 1 2 16
8 El Mansura 9 4 2 3 14
9 Tersana 8 3 4 1 13
10 El Seka El Hadid 8 3 2 3 11
11 El Entag EL Harby 8 2 4 2 10
12 Team 9 3 1 5 10
13 Ismaily SC 8 2 3 3 9
14 Tanta SC 9 2 3 4 9
15 El Dakhleya 9 2 3 4 9
16 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 8 2 2 4 8
17 Dayrout 9 1 3 5 6
18 La Viena FC 9 0 4 5 4
19 Proxy 8 1 1 6 4
20 Mega Sport 8 0 2 6 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kahraba Ismailia 9 17 9 +8 17
2 Masar 8 16 6 +10 19
3 Itesalat 9 14 7 +7 18
4 AL Nasr SC 9 13 7 +6 16
5 El Entag EL Harby 8 13 10 +3 10
6 El Seka El Hadid 8 12 14 -2 11
7 Haras El Hodood 9 11 3 +8 19
8 Pharco 8 11 6 +5 16
9 Ismaily SC 8 11 14 -3 9
10 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 8 10 4 +6 17
11 El Mansura 9 10 9 +1 14
12 Team 9 10 15 -5 10
13 Tersana 8 8 7 +1 13
14 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 8 7 8 -1 8
15 El Dakhleya 9 7 13 -6 9
16 Tanta SC 9 5 9 -4 9
17 Mega Sport 8 5 12 -7 2
18 La Viena FC 9 4 11 -7 4
19 Proxy 8 3 11 -8 4
20 Dayrout 9 3 15 -12 6
Second League Egypt. Second League Predictions