Prediction Audit: Proxy vs Tersana Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Sep 04, 2026 - 13:30
2 1.43
0 1.17
xG Accuracy: 62%

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade Not available

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Proxy Proxy ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct
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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Sep 04, 2026 · 13:30 UTC Kickoff
  2. FT Full-time result Proxy win · 2–0

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: No prediction record
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 01:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5906291

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Proxy win · Proxy 2–0 Tersana
Prediction No prediction record
Decision Grade Not assessed

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Second League
  • Fixture: Proxy vs Tersana
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): Proxy 1.43 — Tersana 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.3%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Cautious / Wait

Outcome: —

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

November 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Second League Second League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Masar 11 7 1 3 22
2 Pharco 11 7 1 3 22
3 Kahraba Ismailia 11 6 3 2 21
4 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 11 6 3 2 21
5 Haras El Hodood 11 5 5 1 20
6 El Mansura 11 6 2 3 20
7 Itesalat 11 6 1 4 19
8 El Seka El Hadid 11 5 3 3 18
9 AL Nasr SC 11 4 5 2 17
10 Tersana 11 4 5 2 17
11 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 11 4 3 4 15
12 Ismaily SC 11 3 4 4 13
13 Team 11 3 3 5 12
14 El Entag EL Harby 11 2 5 4 11
15 El Dakhleya 11 2 5 4 11
16 Tanta SC 11 2 4 5 10
17 La Viena FC 11 1 5 5 8
18 Proxy 11 2 2 7 8
19 Dayrout 11 1 4 6 7
20 Mega Sport 11 0 4 7 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Masar 11 22 12 +10 22
2 Kahraba Ismailia 11 19 10 +9 21
3 El Seka El Hadid 11 19 15 +4 18
4 Pharco 11 18 11 +7 22
5 El Entag EL Harby 11 17 16 +1 11
6 AL Nasr SC 11 15 10 +5 17
7 Itesalat 11 15 11 +4 19
8 El Mansura 11 15 12 +3 20
9 Haras El Hodood 11 14 7 +7 20
10 Tersana 11 13 9 +4 17
11 Ismaily SC 11 13 15 -2 13
12 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 11 12 6 +6 21
13 Team 11 11 16 -5 12
14 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 11 10 9 +1 15
15 El Dakhleya 11 9 15 -6 11
16 Proxy 11 8 17 -9 8
17 Mega Sport 11 8 19 -11 4
18 Tanta SC 11 7 13 -6 10
19 La Viena FC 11 6 12 -6 8
20 Dayrout 11 5 21 -16 7