Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB III - Southwest / Budafoki LC vs Szekszárd

Budafoki LC vs Szekszárd Statistics & Analysis

Budafoki LC Budafoki LC
Aug 26, 2026 - 15:30
4 1.37
0 1.23
xG Accuracy: 35%
Szekszárd Szekszárd
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Budafoki LC Budafoki LC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 20, 2026 · 02:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4675749

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Budafoki LC win · Budafoki LC 4–0 Szekszárd
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: NB III - Southwest
  • Fixture: Budafoki LC vs Szekszárd
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-26 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Budafoki LC 1.37 — Szekszárd 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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NB III - Southwest NB III - Southwest — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Pécsi MFC 7 7 0 0 21
2 Kaposvar 6 5 0 1 15
3 Budafoki LC 6 4 1 1 13
4 PTE-PEAC 6 4 1 1 13
5 MTK Budapest II 6 4 0 2 12
6 Ferencváros II 6 3 2 1 11
7 Siofok 7 3 2 2 11
8 Majosi 7 3 1 3 10
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 7 2 1 4 7
10 Budaörs 7 2 1 4 7
11 Érdi VSE 6 1 3 2 6
12 Iváncsa 6 2 0 4 6
13 Sárbogárd 7 1 1 5 4
14 Paksi SE II 7 0 3 4 3
15 Szekszárd 7 0 0 7 0
15 Dunaujvaros FC 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Pécsi MFC 7 24 2 +22 21
2 MTK Budapest II 6 21 9 +12 12
3 Kaposvar 6 19 5 +14 15
4 Ferencváros II 6 13 8 +5 11
5 Érdi VSE 6 13 13 0 6
6 Majosi 7 13 16 -3 10
7 Budafoki LC 6 12 5 +7 13
8 PTE-PEAC 6 12 6 +6 13
9 Siofok 7 12 8 +4 11
10 Dunaharaszti MTK 7 10 15 -5 7
11 Iváncsa 6 10 16 -6 6
12 Budaörs 7 10 24 -14 7
13 Paksi SE II 7 9 17 -8 3
14 Sárbogárd 7 4 15 -11 4
15 Szekszárd 7 2 25 -23 0
16 Dunaujvaros FC 1 0 3 -3 0
NB III - Southwest Hungary. NB III - Southwest Predictions