Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB III - Southeast / III. Kerületi TUE vs Szolnoki MAV FC

III. Kerületi TUE vs Szolnoki MAV FC Statistics & Analysis

III. Kerületi TUE III. Kerületi TUE
Oct 10, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.57
1 1.03
xG Accuracy: 85%
Szolnoki MAV FC Szolnoki MAV FC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 III. Kerületi TUE Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13189910

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · III. Kerületi TUE 1–1 Szolnoki MAV FC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: NB III - Southeast
  • Fixture: III. Kerületi TUE vs Szolnoki MAV FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 48.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away 23.3%
  • xG (showing): III. Kerületi TUE 1.57 — Szolnoki MAV FC 1.03 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.5% · No 47.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.5% · No 47.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.0%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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NB III - Southeast NB III - Southeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gyulai Termál 11 11 0 0 33
2 III. Kerületi TUE 11 8 1 2 25
3 ESMTK 10 6 3 1 21
4 Újpest II 11 5 3 3 18
5 Vasas II 11 5 2 4 17
6 Szeged-Csanád II 10 4 4 2 16
7 Csepel 11 3 5 3 14
8 Monori Se 11 3 5 3 14
9 Szolnoki MAV FC 11 3 5 3 14
10 Dabas 11 4 2 5 14
11 Bekescsaba 1912 11 3 4 4 13
12 Honvéd II 10 3 2 5 11
13 Sándorfalva 11 3 1 7 10
14 Hódmezővásárhely 11 1 5 5 8
15 BKV Előre 10 1 1 8 4
16 Szegedi VSE 11 0 3 8 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Gyulai Termál 11 39 9 +30 33
2 Újpest II 11 28 18 +10 18
3 ESMTK 10 27 10 +17 21
4 Szolnoki MAV FC 11 24 25 -1 14
5 Vasas II 11 23 12 +11 17
6 Csepel 11 21 17 +4 14
7 Monori Se 11 21 19 +2 14
8 Szeged-Csanád II 10 19 14 +5 16
9 Honvéd II 10 18 15 +3 11
10 III. Kerületi TUE 11 16 5 +11 25
11 Bekescsaba 1912 11 16 15 +1 13
12 Dabas 11 14 25 -11 14
13 Szegedi VSE 11 13 35 -22 3
14 Hódmezővásárhely 11 12 23 -11 8
15 Sándorfalva 11 8 28 -20 10
16 BKV Előre 10 7 36 -29 4
NB III - Southeast Hungary. NB III - Southeast Predictions