Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB III - Southeast / Vasas II vs BKV Előre

Vasas II vs BKV Előre Statistics & Analysis

Vasas II Vasas II
Oct 03, 2026 - 09:00
3 1.37
0 1.23
xG Accuracy: 46%
BKV Előre BKV Előre
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Vasas II Vasas II ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 00:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11658807

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Vasas II win · Vasas II 3–0 BKV Előre
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: NB III - Southeast
  • Fixture: Vasas II vs BKV Előre
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Vasas II 1.37 — BKV Előre 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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NB III - Southeast NB III - Southeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gyulai Termál 10 10 0 0 30
2 III. Kerületi TUE 9 8 0 1 24
3 ESMTK 10 6 3 1 21
4 Újpest II 10 5 3 2 18
5 Vasas II 10 5 2 3 17
6 Szeged-Csanád II 9 4 3 2 15
7 Monori Se 10 3 5 2 14
8 Csepel 9 3 4 2 13
9 Szolnoki MAV FC 10 3 4 3 13
10 Bekescsaba 1912 10 2 4 4 10
11 Dabas 9 3 1 5 10
12 Honvéd II 9 2 2 5 8
13 Sándorfalva 10 2 1 7 7
14 Hódmezővásárhely 9 1 3 5 6
15 BKV Előre 10 1 1 8 4
16 Szegedi VSE 10 0 2 8 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Gyulai Termál 10 37 8 +29 30
2 ESMTK 10 27 10 +17 21
3 Újpest II 10 27 16 +11 18
4 Vasas II 10 23 11 +12 17
5 Szolnoki MAV FC 10 23 24 -1 13
6 Monori Se 10 21 17 +4 14
7 Csepel 9 20 15 +5 13
8 Szeged-Csanád II 9 18 13 +5 15
9 Honvéd II 9 17 15 +2 8
10 III. Kerületi TUE 9 15 3 +12 24
11 Bekescsaba 1912 10 14 15 -1 10
12 Dabas 9 12 24 -12 10
13 Szegedi VSE 10 12 34 -22 2
14 Hódmezővásárhely 9 10 21 -11 6
15 Sándorfalva 10 7 28 -21 7
16 BKV Előre 10 7 36 -29 4