Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB III - Southeast / Honvéd II vs Bekescsaba 1912

Honvéd II vs Bekescsaba 1912 Statistics & Analysis

Jul 26, 2026 - 09:00
0 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Honvéd II Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1454091

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Honvéd II 0–0 Bekescsaba 1912
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: NB III – Southeast
  • Fixture: Honvéd II vs Bekescsaba 1912
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-26 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Honvéd II 1.32 — Bekescsaba 1912 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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NB III - Southeast NB III - Southeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gyulai Termál 9 9 0 0 27
2 III. Kerületi TUE 9 8 0 1 24
3 Újpest II 9 5 2 2 17
4 ESMTK 8 4 3 1 15
5 Szeged-Csanád II 9 4 3 2 15
6 Vasas II 9 4 2 3 14
7 Csepel 9 3 4 2 13
8 Monori Se 9 3 4 2 13
9 Szolnoki MAV FC 9 3 4 2 13
10 Dabas 8 3 1 4 10
11 Honvéd II 9 2 2 5 8
12 Bekescsaba 1912 8 1 4 3 7
13 Hódmezővásárhely 9 1 3 5 6
14 BKV Előre 8 1 1 6 4
15 Sándorfalva 9 1 1 7 4
16 Szegedi VSE 9 0 2 7 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Gyulai Termál 9 33 5 +28 27
2 Újpest II 9 25 14 +11 17
3 Vasas II 9 20 11 +9 14
4 Csepel 9 20 15 +5 13
5 Szolnoki MAV FC 9 20 20 0 13
6 Monori Se 9 19 15 +4 13
7 Szeged-Csanád II 9 18 13 +5 15
8 ESMTK 8 17 9 +8 15
9 Honvéd II 9 17 15 +2 8
10 III. Kerületi TUE 9 15 3 +12 24
11 Dabas 8 12 18 -6 10
12 Szegedi VSE 9 11 30 -19 2
13 Bekescsaba 1912 8 10 14 -4 7
14 Hódmezővásárhely 9 10 21 -11 6
15 BKV Előre 8 7 29 -22 4
16 Sándorfalva 9 6 28 -22 4