Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB III - Northwest / Sárisápi Bányász vs 1908 SZAC

Sárisápi Bányász vs 1908 SZAC Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sárisápi Bányász Sárisápi Bányász ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13189695

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sárisápi Bányász win · Sárisápi Bányász 2–1 1908 SZAC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: NB III - Northwest
  • Fixture: Sárisápi Bányász vs 1908 SZAC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Sárisápi Bányász 1.32 — 1908 SZAC 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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NB III - Northwest NB III - Northwest — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Haladás VSE 10 7 3 0 24
2 Dorogi FC 10 7 2 1 23
3 Tatabánya 10 7 2 1 23
4 Sárisápi Bányász 10 5 2 3 17
5 MTE 1904 10 4 3 3 15
6 SC Sopron 10 4 3 3 15
7 Bicskei 10 5 0 5 15
8 Komárom 10 4 3 3 15
9 Gyori ETO II 10 4 2 4 14
10 Puskás II 10 4 1 5 13
11 Zalaegerszegi TE II 10 4 1 5 13
12 Pápai Perutz 10 3 2 5 11
13 Veszprém 10 2 4 4 10
14 Király SZE 10 1 4 5 7
15 Szombathelyi Haladas 1 0 1 0 1
15 Balatonalmádi 10 1 2 7 5
16 1908 SZAC 10 0 2 8 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Haladás VSE 10 30 9 +21 24
2 Dorogi FC 10 29 8 +21 23
3 Tatabánya 10 25 8 +17 23
4 Bicskei 10 24 23 +1 15
5 Puskás II 10 19 19 0 13
6 Zalaegerszegi TE II 10 18 18 0 13
7 Komárom 10 16 15 +1 15
8 Sárisápi Bányász 10 16 16 0 17
9 MTE 1904 10 15 12 +3 15
10 Gyori ETO II 10 15 12 +3 14
11 SC Sopron 10 15 13 +2 15
12 Veszprém 10 15 22 -7 10
13 Király SZE 10 11 19 -8 7
14 Balatonalmádi 10 10 29 -19 5
15 Pápai Perutz 10 9 19 -10 11
16 1908 SZAC 10 5 30 -25 2
17 Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1 1 0 1