Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB III - Northwest / Balatonalmádi vs Veszprém

Balatonalmádi vs Veszprém Statistics & Analysis

Oct 11, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.31
4 1.29
xG Accuracy: 33%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Balatonalmádi Veszprém ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13195085

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Veszprém win · Balatonalmádi 0–4 Veszprém
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: NB III - Northwest
  • Fixture: Balatonalmádi vs Veszprém
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Balatonalmádi 1.31 — Veszprém 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
NB III - Northwest NB III - Northwest — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tatabánya 11 8 2 1 26
2 Haladás VSE 10 7 3 0 24
3 Dorogi FC 10 7 2 1 23
4 Sárisápi Bányász 11 6 2 3 20
5 SC Sopron 11 5 3 3 18
6 Bicskei 11 6 0 5 18
7 MTE 1904 10 4 3 3 15
8 Komárom 11 4 3 4 15
9 Gyori ETO II 10 4 2 4 14
10 Puskás II 10 4 1 5 13
11 Zalaegerszegi TE II 11 4 1 6 13
12 Pápai Perutz 11 3 2 6 11
13 Veszprém 10 2 4 4 10
14 Király SZE 10 1 4 5 7
15 Szombathelyi Haladas 1 0 1 0 1
15 Balatonalmádi 10 1 2 7 5
16 1908 SZAC 11 0 2 9 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Haladás VSE 10 30 9 +21 24
2 Dorogi FC 10 29 8 +21 23
3 Tatabánya 11 28 8 +20 26
4 Bicskei 11 26 23 +3 18
5 Puskás II 10 19 19 0 13
6 SC Sopron 11 18 13 +5 18
7 Sárisápi Bányász 11 18 17 +1 20
8 Zalaegerszegi TE II 11 18 21 -3 13
9 Komárom 11 16 18 -2 15
10 MTE 1904 10 15 12 +3 15
11 Gyori ETO II 10 15 12 +3 14
12 Veszprém 10 15 22 -7 10
13 Király SZE 10 11 19 -8 7
14 Balatonalmádi 10 10 29 -19 5
15 Pápai Perutz 11 9 21 -12 11
16 1908 SZAC 11 6 32 -26 2
17 Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1 1 0 1