Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB III - Northwest / MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC

MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC Statistics & Analysis

MTE 1904 MTE 1904
Sep 27, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 64%
Dorogi FC Dorogi FC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 MTE 1904 Dorogi FC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 06:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10144003

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dorogi FC win · MTE 1904 0–1 Dorogi FC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: NB III - Northwest
  • Fixture: MTE 1904 vs Dorogi FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): MTE 1904 1.3 — Dorogi FC 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.3% · Probability edge: +4.5 pts · Est. EV: +4.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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NB III - Northwest NB III - Northwest — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Haladás VSE 8 6 2 0 20
2 Tatabánya 9 6 2 1 20
3 Dorogi FC 8 6 1 1 19
4 Sárisápi Bányász 9 5 1 3 16
5 MTE 1904 8 4 3 1 15
6 Bicskei 9 5 0 4 15
7 Komárom 9 4 3 2 15
8 Gyori ETO II 9 4 2 3 14
9 SC Sopron 9 3 3 3 12
10 Zalaegerszegi TE II 9 3 1 5 10
11 Puskás II 8 3 0 5 9
12 Veszprém 9 2 3 4 9
13 Pápai Perutz 8 2 2 4 8
14 Király SZE 9 1 3 5 6
15 Szombathelyi Haladas 1 0 1 0 1
15 Balatonalmádi 8 1 0 7 3
16 1908 SZAC 9 0 2 7 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dorogi FC 8 26 6 +20 19
2 Haladás VSE 8 24 7 +17 20
3 Tatabánya 9 23 8 +15 20
4 Bicskei 9 23 20 +3 15
5 Komárom 9 16 13 +3 15
6 Sárisápi Bányász 9 15 15 0 16
7 Zalaegerszegi TE II 9 15 17 -2 10
8 MTE 1904 8 14 7 +7 15
9 Gyori ETO II 9 14 10 +4 14
10 Puskás II 8 14 17 -3 9
11 Veszprém 9 14 21 -7 9
12 SC Sopron 9 12 13 -1 12
13 Király SZE 9 9 17 -8 6
14 Pápai Perutz 8 7 14 -7 8
15 Balatonalmádi 8 7 26 -19 3
16 1908 SZAC 9 5 27 -22 2
17 Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1 1 0 1
NB III - Northwest Hungary. NB III - Northwest Predictions