Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB III - Northeast / Eger vs Diósgyőr II

Eger vs Diósgyőr II Statistics & Analysis

Eger Eger
Oct 03, 2026 - 09:00
2 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 76%
Diósgyőr II Diósgyőr II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Eger Eger ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11219323

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Eger win · Eger 2–1 Diósgyőr II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: NB III - Northeast
  • Fixture: Eger vs Diósgyőr II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Eger 1.3 — Diósgyőr II 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
NB III - Northeast NB III - Northeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ózd Sajóvölgye 10 8 0 2 24
2 Cigand SE 10 7 2 1 23
3 DEAC 10 6 2 2 20
4 Kisvárda II 10 4 5 1 17
5 Debrecen II 10 5 1 4 16
6 Diósgyőr II 10 4 4 2 16
7 Mátészalka 10 4 4 2 16
8 Gödöllő 10 5 1 4 16
9 Eger 10 5 1 4 16
10 Füzesabony 10 5 0 5 15
11 Tiszaújváros 10 4 1 5 13
12 Hajdúnánás 10 3 1 6 10
13 Salgótarjáni BTC 10 3 0 7 9
14 Tiszafuredi VSE 10 3 0 7 9
15 Tarpa 10 2 0 8 6
16 Nyiregyhaza II 10 1 0 9 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ózd Sajóvölgye 10 32 8 +24 24
2 DEAC 10 25 13 +12 20
3 Debrecen II 10 25 21 +4 16
4 Cigand SE 10 24 9 +15 23
5 Diósgyőr II 10 18 14 +4 16
6 Mátészalka 10 17 14 +3 16
7 Hajdúnánás 10 17 27 -10 10
8 Kisvárda II 10 15 11 +4 17
9 Gödöllő 10 14 12 +2 16
10 Tiszaújváros 10 12 13 -1 13
11 Eger 10 12 21 -9 16
12 Füzesabony 10 10 11 -1 15
13 Nyiregyhaza II 10 10 26 -16 3
14 Tarpa 10 8 22 -14 6
15 Salgótarjáni BTC 10 7 15 -8 9
16 Tiszafuredi VSE 10 6 15 -9 9
NB III - Northeast Hungary. NB III - Northeast Predictions