Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB III - Northeast / Tiszaújváros vs Mátészalka

Tiszaújváros vs Mátészalka Statistics & Analysis

Tiszaújváros Tiszaújváros
Oct 03, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.37
2 1.23
xG Accuracy: 68%
Mátészalka Mátészalka
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Tiszaújváros Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11221851

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Tiszaújváros 2–2 Mátészalka
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: NB III - Northeast
  • Fixture: Tiszaújváros vs Mátészalka
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Tiszaújváros 1.37 — Mátészalka 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
NB III - Northeast NB III - Northeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ózd Sajóvölgye 10 8 0 2 24
2 Cigand SE 10 7 2 1 23
3 DEAC 10 6 2 2 20
4 Kisvárda II 10 4 5 1 17
5 Debrecen II 10 5 1 4 16
6 Diósgyőr II 10 4 4 2 16
7 Mátészalka 10 4 4 2 16
8 Gödöllő 10 5 1 4 16
9 Eger 10 5 1 4 16
10 Füzesabony 10 5 0 5 15
11 Tiszaújváros 10 4 1 5 13
12 Hajdúnánás 10 3 1 6 10
13 Salgótarjáni BTC 10 3 0 7 9
14 Tiszafuredi VSE 10 3 0 7 9
15 Tarpa 10 2 0 8 6
16 Nyiregyhaza II 10 1 0 9 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ózd Sajóvölgye 10 32 8 +24 24
2 DEAC 10 25 13 +12 20
3 Debrecen II 10 25 21 +4 16
4 Cigand SE 10 24 9 +15 23
5 Diósgyőr II 10 18 14 +4 16
6 Mátészalka 10 17 14 +3 16
7 Hajdúnánás 10 17 27 -10 10
8 Kisvárda II 10 15 11 +4 17
9 Gödöllő 10 14 12 +2 16
10 Tiszaújváros 10 12 13 -1 13
11 Eger 10 12 21 -9 16
12 Füzesabony 10 10 11 -1 15
13 Nyiregyhaza II 10 10 26 -16 3
14 Tarpa 10 8 22 -14 6
15 Salgótarjáni BTC 10 7 15 -8 9
16 Tiszafuredi VSE 10 6 15 -9 9
NB III - Northeast Hungary. NB III - Northeast Predictions