Hajdúnánás vs Eger Statistics & Analysis

Hajdúnánás

Sep 27, 2026 - 14:00

5 1.36

1 1.24

xG Accuracy: 34%

Eger

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Hajdúnánás Hajdúnánás ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10098820

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Hajdúnánás win · Hajdúnánás 5–1 Eger

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: NB III - Northeast
Fixture: Hajdúnánás vs Eger
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Hajdúnánás 1.36 — Eger 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

NB III - Northeast — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	9	7	0	2	21
2	Cigand SE	8	7	0	1	21
3	DEAC	9	5	2	2	17
4	Diósgyőr II	9	4	4	1	16
5	Mátészalka	9	4	3	2	15
6	Gödöllő	9	5	0	4	15
7	Füzesabony	9	5	0	4	15
8	Debrecen II	9	4	1	4	13
9	Kisvárda II	8	3	4	1	13
10	Eger	8	4	1	3	13
11	Tiszaújváros	9	4	0	5	12
12	Tiszafuredi VSE	9	3	0	6	9
13	Hajdúnánás	8	2	1	5	7
14	Salgótarjáni BTC	9	2	0	7	6
15	Tarpa	9	2	0	7	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	9	1	0	8	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	9	23	8	+15	21
2	Debrecen II	9	23	20	+3	13
3	DEAC	9	22	13	+9	17
4	Cigand SE	8	21	6	+15	21
5	Diósgyőr II	9	17	12	+5	16
6	Mátészalka	9	15	12	+3	15
7	Gödöllő	9	12	10	+2	15
8	Kisvárda II	8	12	10	+2	13
9	Hajdúnánás	8	12	17	-5	7
10	Füzesabony	9	10	8	+2	15
11	Tiszaújváros	9	10	11	-1	12
12	Nyiregyhaza II	9	10	25	-15	3
13	Eger	8	9	15	-6	13
14	Tarpa	9	7	20	-13	6
15	Tiszafuredi VSE	9	6	13	-7	9
16	Salgótarjáni BTC	9	6	15	-9	6