Statistics / Football / Hungary. NB III - Northeast / Kisvárda II vs Mátészalka

Kisvárda II vs Mátészalka Statistics & Analysis

Kisvárda II Kisvárda II
Jul 26, 2026 - 09:00
1 1.58
1 1.02
xG Accuracy: 85%
Mátészalka Mátészalka
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Kisvárda II Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1454084

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Kisvárda II 1–1 Mátészalka
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: NB III – Northeast
  • Fixture: Kisvárda II vs Mátészalka
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-26 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 48.8% · Draw 28.3% · Away 22.9%
  • xG (showing): Kisvárda II 1.58 — Mátészalka 1.02 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
NB III - Northeast NB III - Northeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ózd Sajóvölgye 9 7 0 2 21
2 Cigand SE 8 7 0 1 21
3 DEAC 9 5 2 2 17
4 Diósgyőr II 9 4 4 1 16
5 Mátészalka 9 4 3 2 15
6 Gödöllő 9 5 0 4 15
7 Füzesabony 9 5 0 4 15
8 Debrecen II 9 4 1 4 13
9 Kisvárda II 8 3 4 1 13
10 Eger 8 4 1 3 13
11 Tiszaújváros 9 4 0 5 12
12 Tiszafuredi VSE 9 3 0 6 9
13 Hajdúnánás 8 2 1 5 7
14 Salgótarjáni BTC 9 2 0 7 6
15 Tarpa 9 2 0 7 6
16 Nyiregyhaza II 9 1 0 8 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ózd Sajóvölgye 9 23 8 +15 21
2 Debrecen II 9 23 20 +3 13
3 DEAC 9 22 13 +9 17
4 Cigand SE 8 21 6 +15 21
5 Diósgyőr II 9 17 12 +5 16
6 Mátészalka 9 15 12 +3 15
7 Gödöllő 9 12 10 +2 15
8 Kisvárda II 8 12 10 +2 13
9 Hajdúnánás 8 12 17 -5 7
10 Füzesabony 9 10 8 +2 15
11 Tiszaújváros 9 10 11 -1 12
12 Nyiregyhaza II 9 10 25 -15 3
13 Eger 8 9 15 -6 13
14 Tarpa 9 7 20 -13 6
15 Tiszafuredi VSE 9 6 13 -7 9
16 Salgótarjáni BTC 9 6 15 -9 6
NB III - Northeast Hungary. NB III - Northeast Predictions