Statistics / Football / Ukraine. Druha Liga / Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bratslav Vinnytsia

Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bratslav Vinnytsia Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 10:00
1 1.32
5 1.28
xG Accuracy: 33%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Podillya Khmelnytskyi Bratslav Vinnytsia ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13186580

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bratslav Vinnytsia win · Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–5 Bratslav Vinnytsia
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Druha Liga
  • Fixture: Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Bratslav Vinnytsia
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1.32 — Bratslav Vinnytsia 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Druha Liga Druha Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 7 2 0 23
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 15
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 13
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 14
3 Atlet 8 3 3 2 12
4 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 4 1 4 13
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 11
5 Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 12
5 Rebel 8 3 2 3 11
6 Nyva Ternopil II 9 3 1 5 10
6 Oleksandria II 8 2 4 2 10
7 Skala 1911 Stryi 8 2 2 4 8
7 Trostianets 7 2 4 1 10
8 Dinaz Vyshhorod 8 1 4 3 7
8 Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9
9 Ruh Lviv 8 1 0 7 3
9 Penuel 8 1 2 5 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 25 8 +17 23
2 Atlet 8 16 12 +4 12
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 16 13 +3 14
4 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 16 19 -3 13
5 Rebel 8 15 15 0 11
6 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 14 8 +6 15
7 Karbon Cherkasy 8 13 9 +4 15
8 Ruh Lviv 8 13 16 -3 3
9 Dinaz Vyshhorod 8 12 18 -6 7
10 Vilkhivtsi 9 11 13 -2 12
11 Lozova 8 9 9 0 13
12 Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 9 10 -1 9
13 Trostianets 7 8 5 +3 10
14 Oleksandria II 8 8 7 +1 10
15 Skala 1911 Stryi 8 8 13 -5 8
16 Nyva Ternopil II 9 8 15 -7 10
17 Penuel 8 6 15 -9 5
18 SC Poltava 2 9 5 7 -2 11