Statistics / Football / Ukraine. Druha Liga / Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Vilkhivtsi

Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Vilkhivtsi Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.36
2 1.24
xG Accuracy: 74%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Podillya Khmelnytskyi Vilkhivtsi ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11221784

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Vilkhivtsi win · Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–2 Vilkhivtsi
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Druha Liga
  • Fixture: Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Vilkhivtsi
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1.36 — Vilkhivtsi 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.4% · Probability edge: +9.4 pts · Est. EV: +23.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 03, 2026 (UTC)

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Druha Liga Druha Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 7 5 2 0 17
1 Atlet 8 3 3 2 12
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 7 4 2 1 14
2 Karbon Cherkasy 7 3 3 1 12
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 14
3 Rebel 7 3 2 2 11
4 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 7 4 1 2 13
4 Oleksandria II 7 2 4 1 10
5 Nyva Ternopil II 7 3 0 4 9
5 Trostianets 7 2 4 1 10
6 Vilkhivtsi 7 2 2 3 8
6 Lozova 7 3 1 3 10
7 Skala 1911 Stryi 7 2 1 4 7
7 SC Poltava 2 7 2 2 3 8
8 Dinaz Vyshhorod 7 0 4 3 4
8 Metalurh Zaporizhya 6 1 3 2 6
9 Ruh Lviv 7 1 0 6 3
9 Penuel 8 1 2 5 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 7 17 5 +12 17
2 Atlet 8 16 12 +4 12
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 16 13 +3 14
4 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 7 14 12 +2 13
5 Rebel 7 14 13 +1 11
6 Nyva Vinnytsya 7 12 6 +6 14
7 Karbon Cherkasy 7 11 8 +3 12
8 Ruh Lviv 7 11 13 -2 3
9 Dinaz Vyshhorod 7 10 17 -7 4
10 Vilkhivtsi 7 9 12 -3 8
11 Trostianets 7 8 5 +3 10
12 Oleksandria II 7 8 6 +2 10
13 Lozova 7 7 8 -1 10
14 Metalurh Zaporizhya 6 7 8 -1 6
15 Nyva Ternopil II 7 7 13 -6 9
16 Skala 1911 Stryi 7 6 11 -5 7
17 Penuel 8 6 15 -9 5
18 SC Poltava 2 7 4 6 -2 8