Statistics / Football / Ukraine. Druha Liga / Ruh Lviv vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Ruh Lviv vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi Statistics & Analysis

Ruh Lviv Ruh Lviv
Sep 20, 2026 - 09:00
2 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 52%
Podillya Khmelnytskyi Podillya Khmelnytskyi
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Ruh Lviv Podillya Khmelnytskyi ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 00:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8658806

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Podillya Khmelnytskyi win · Ruh Lviv 2–3 Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Druha Liga
  • Fixture: Ruh Lviv vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Ruh Lviv 1.32 — Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Druha Liga Druha Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 7 5 2 0 17
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 7 4 2 1 14
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 14
4 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 7 4 1 2 13
5 Nyva Ternopil II 7 3 0 4 9
6 Skala 1911 Stryi 7 2 1 4 7
7 Vilkhivtsi 6 1 2 3 5
8 Dinaz Vyshhorod 7 0 4 3 4
9 Ruh Lviv 6 1 0 5 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 7 17 5 +12 17
2 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 16 13 +3 14
3 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 7 14 12 +2 13
4 Nyva Vinnytsya 7 12 6 +6 14
5 Ruh Lviv 6 10 11 -1 3
6 Dinaz Vyshhorod 7 10 17 -7 4
7 Vilkhivtsi 6 7 11 -4 5
8 Nyva Ternopil II 7 7 13 -6 9
9 Skala 1911 Stryi 7 6 11 -5 7
Druha Liga Ukraine. Druha Liga Predictions