Statistics / Football / Ukraine. Druha Liga / Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya

Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya Statistics & Analysis

Podillya Khmelnytskyi Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Aug 08, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.27
1 1.33
xG Accuracy: 75%
Nyva Vinnytsya Nyva Vinnytsya
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Nyva Vinnytsya Podillya Khmelnytskyi ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2821074

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Podillya Khmelnytskyi win · Podillya Khmelnytskyi 2–1 Nyva Vinnytsya
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Druha Liga
  • Fixture: Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1.27 — Nyva Vinnytsya 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Druha Liga Druha Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 7 5 2 0 17
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 7 4 2 1 14
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 14
4 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 7 4 1 2 13
5 Nyva Ternopil II 7 3 0 4 9
6 Skala 1911 Stryi 7 2 1 4 7
7 Vilkhivtsi 6 1 2 3 5
8 Dinaz Vyshhorod 7 0 4 3 4
9 Ruh Lviv 6 1 0 5 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 7 17 5 +12 17
2 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 16 13 +3 14
3 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 7 14 12 +2 13
4 Nyva Vinnytsya 7 12 6 +6 14
5 Ruh Lviv 6 10 11 -1 3
6 Dinaz Vyshhorod 7 10 17 -7 4
7 Vilkhivtsi 6 7 11 -4 5
8 Nyva Ternopil II 7 7 13 -6 9
9 Skala 1911 Stryi 7 6 11 -5 7
Druha Liga Ukraine. Druha Liga Predictions