Atl. San Luis U21 vs Santos Laguna U21 Statistics & Analysis

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Atl. San Luis U21

Oct 11, 2026 - 15:00

2(6) 1.35

2(5) 1.25

xG Accuracy: 68%

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Santos Laguna U21

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Atl. San Luis U21 Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13224767

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Atl. San Luis U21 2–2 Santos Laguna U21

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga MX U21
Fixture: Atl. San Luis U21 vs Santos Laguna U21
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Atl. San Luis U21 1.35 — Santos Laguna U21 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga MX U21 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Toluca U21	10	9	1	0	28
2	Club Leon U21	10	9	0	1	27
3	Club Tijuana U21	10	6	1	3	19
4	Guadalajara Chivas U21	10	6	0	4	18
5	Cruz Azul U21	10	5	1	4	16
6	Puebla U21	10	5	1	4	16
7	Club America U21	10	5	0	5	15
8	Atl. San Luis U21	10	5	0	5	15
9	Necaxa U21	10	5	0	5	15
10	Monterrey U21	9	4	1	4	13
11	Juarez U21	10	4	1	5	13
12	Santos Laguna U21	10	4	1	5	13
13	Atlante U21	10	4	0	6	12
14	Atlas U21	10	3	1	6	10
15	UNAM Pumas U21	10	3	1	6	10
16	Pachuca U21	10	3	0	7	9
17	Tigres UANL U21	10	2	1	7	7
18	Queretaro U21	9	2	0	7	6

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Toluca U21	10	19	7	+12	28
2	Club Leon U21	10	19	9	+10	27
3	Monterrey U21	9	18	13	+5	13
4	Cruz Azul U21	10	18	15	+3	16
5	Club Tijuana U21	10	17	12	+5	19
6	Atl. San Luis U21	10	17	19	-2	15
7	Guadalajara Chivas U21	10	16	14	+2	18
8	Club America U21	10	14	14	0	15
9	Atlante U21	10	14	20	-6	12
10	Atlas U21	10	13	12	+1	10
11	Puebla U21	10	11	8	+3	16
12	Necaxa U21	10	11	15	-4	15
13	UNAM Pumas U21	10	10	13	-3	10
14	Pachuca U21	10	10	15	-5	9
15	Queretaro U21	9	10	16	-6	6
16	Juarez U21	10	9	11	-2	13
17	Santos Laguna U21	10	9	12	-3	13
18	Tigres UANL U21	10	9	19	-10	7