Statistics / Football / Mexico. Liga MX U21 / Puebla U21 vs Club Leon U21

Puebla U21 vs Club Leon U21 Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Puebla U21
Oct 09, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.25
2 1.35
xG Accuracy: 78%
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Club Leon U21
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Club Leon U21 Club Leon U21 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12691056

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Club Leon U21 win · Puebla U21 1–2 Club Leon U21
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga MX U21
  • Fixture: Puebla U21 vs Club Leon U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Puebla U21 1.25 — Club Leon U21 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.2%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga MX U21 Liga MX U21 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Toluca U21 10 9 1 0 28
2 Club Leon U21 10 9 0 1 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 6 1 3 19
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 18
5 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 1 4 16
6 Puebla U21 10 5 1 4 16
7 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 15
8 Atl. San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 15
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 15
10 Monterrey U21 9 4 1 4 13
11 Juarez U21 10 4 1 5 13
12 Santos Laguna U21 10 4 1 5 13
13 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 1 6 10
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 1 6 10
16 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 9
17 Tigres UANL U21 10 2 1 7 7
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Toluca U21 10 19 7 +12 28
2 Club Leon U21 10 19 9 +10 27
3 Monterrey U21 9 18 13 +5 13
4 Cruz Azul U21 10 18 15 +3 16
5 Club Tijuana U21 10 17 12 +5 19
6 Atl. San Luis U21 10 17 19 -2 15
7 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 16 14 +2 18
8 Club America U21 10 14 14 0 15
9 Atlante U21 10 14 20 -6 12
10 Atlas U21 10 13 12 +1 10
11 Puebla U21 10 11 8 +3 16
12 Necaxa U21 10 11 15 -4 15
13 UNAM Pumas U21 10 10 13 -3 10
14 Pachuca U21 10 10 15 -5 9
15 Queretaro U21 9 10 16 -6 6
16 Juarez U21 10 9 11 -2 13
17 Santos Laguna U21 10 9 12 -3 13
18 Tigres UANL U21 10 9 19 -10 7
Liga MX U21 Mexico. Liga MX U21 Predictions