Statistics / Football / Mexico. Liga MX U21 / Cruz Azul U21 vs Puebla U21

Cruz Azul U21 vs Puebla U21 Statistics & Analysis

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Cruz Azul U21
Jul 21, 2026 - 15:00
1(4) 1.39
1(2) 1.21
xG Accuracy: 85%
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Puebla U21
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Cruz Azul U21 Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 16:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2522118

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Cruz Azul U21 1–1 Puebla U21
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga MX U21
  • Fixture: Cruz Azul U21 vs Puebla U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-21 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Cruz Azul U21 1.39 — Puebla U21 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.3% · Implied: 48.3% · Probability edge: +6.0 pts · Est. EV: +5.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga MX U21 Liga MX U21 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Toluca U21 9 8 1 0 25
2 Club Leon U21 9 8 0 1 24
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 6 1 3 19
4 Puebla U21 9 5 1 3 16
5 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 1 4 16
6 Guadalajara Chivas U21 9 5 0 4 15
7 Club America U21 9 5 0 4 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 4 1 4 13
9 Juarez U21 8 4 1 3 13
10 Atl. San Luis U21 9 4 0 5 12
11 Necaxa U21 9 4 0 5 12
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 12
13 Atlas U21 10 3 1 6 10
14 UNAM Pumas U21 9 3 1 5 10
15 Santos Laguna U21 9 3 1 5 10
16 Pachuca U21 9 3 0 6 9
17 Tigres UANL U21 10 2 1 7 7
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Toluca U21 9 18 7 +11 25
2 Club Leon U21 9 18 9 +9 24
3 Monterrey U21 9 18 13 +5 13
4 Cruz Azul U21 10 18 15 +3 16
5 Club Tijuana U21 10 17 12 +5 19
6 Guadalajara Chivas U21 9 15 14 +1 15
7 Atl. San Luis U21 9 15 18 -3 12
8 Club America U21 9 14 13 +1 15
9 Atlante U21 10 14 20 -6 12
10 Atlas U21 10 13 12 +1 10
11 Puebla U21 9 11 7 +4 16
12 Pachuca U21 9 10 13 -3 9
13 Necaxa U21 9 10 15 -5 12
14 Queretaro U21 9 10 16 -6 6
15 Juarez U21 8 9 9 0 13
16 UNAM Pumas U21 9 9 11 -2 10
17 Tigres UANL U21 10 9 19 -10 7
18 Santos Laguna U21 9 7 12 -5 10
Liga MX U21 Mexico. Liga MX U21 Predictions