Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Niederrhein / Scherpenberg vs Solingen-Wald

Scherpenberg vs Solingen-Wald Statistics & Analysis

Scherpenberg Scherpenberg
Sep 11, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 75%
⚽
Solingen-Wald
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Scherpenberg Solingen-Wald ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 05, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7036529

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Solingen-Wald win · Scherpenberg 1–2 Solingen-Wald
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Niederrhein
  • Fixture: Scherpenberg vs Solingen-Wald
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-11 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Scherpenberg 1.32 — Solingen-Wald 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Niederrhein Oberliga - Niederrhein — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Schonnebeck 5 4 1 0 13
2 Monheim 5 3 2 0 11
3 SF Baumberg 5 3 2 0 11
4 SC St. Tönis 5 3 2 0 11
5 KFC Uerdingen 05 5 3 1 1 10
6 Fortuna Düsseldorf II 6 3 1 2 10
7 SSVg Velbert 5 3 0 2 9
8 Sonsbeck 5 1 4 0 7
9 BW Dingden 5 2 1 2 7
10 Solingen-Wald 5 2 0 3 6
11 Germania Ratingen 5 0 5 0 5
12 Scherpenberg 5 1 2 2 5
13 SW Essen 5 1 2 2 5
14 Büderich 5 1 2 2 5
15 Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. 5 1 1 3 4
16 Meerbusch 5 0 2 3 2
17 Wuppertaler SV 6 0 1 5 1
18 Holzheimer SG 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Schonnebeck 5 22 7 +15 13
2 KFC Uerdingen 05 5 15 6 +9 10
3 SF Baumberg 5 15 9 +6 11
4 Monheim 5 14 6 +8 11
5 SC St. Tönis 5 12 8 +4 11
6 SSVg Velbert 5 12 11 +1 9
7 Fortuna Düsseldorf II 6 10 6 +4 10
8 Germania Ratingen 5 9 9 0 5
9 Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. 5 9 14 -5 4
10 Scherpenberg 5 8 12 -4 5
11 Büderich 5 8 14 -6 5
12 Sonsbeck 5 7 5 +2 7
13 Solingen-Wald 5 7 11 -4 6
14 SW Essen 5 7 11 -4 5
15 Holzheimer SG 5 7 19 -12 1
16 BW Dingden 5 5 6 -1 7
17 Wuppertaler SV 6 3 10 -7 1
18 Meerbusch 5 2 8 -6 2
Oberliga - Niederrhein Germany. Oberliga - Niederrhein Predictions