Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Niederrhein / Büderich vs BW Dingden

Büderich vs BW Dingden Statistics & Analysis

Büderich Büderich
Sep 20, 2026 - 13:30
0 1.31
3 1.29
xG Accuracy: 44%
BW Dingden BW Dingden
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Büderich BW Dingden ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8677860

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result BW Dingden win · Büderich 0–3 BW Dingden
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga - Niederrhein
  • Fixture: Büderich vs BW Dingden
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Büderich 1.31 — BW Dingden 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Niederrhein Oberliga - Niederrhein — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Schonnebeck 7 6 1 0 19
2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II 7 5 1 1 16
3 SF Baumberg 6 4 2 0 14
4 SSVg Velbert 6 4 0 2 12
5 SC St. Tönis 6 3 2 1 11
6 KFC Uerdingen 05 6 3 1 2 10
7 Sonsbeck 6 2 4 0 10
8 BW Dingden 6 3 1 2 10
9 Solingen-Wald 6 3 0 3 9
10 Monheim 6 2 2 2 8
11 Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. 6 2 1 3 7
12 Germania Ratingen 6 0 5 1 5
13 SW Essen 6 1 2 3 5
14 Scherpenberg 6 1 2 3 5
15 Büderich 6 1 2 3 5
16 Wuppertaler SV 7 1 1 5 4
17 Meerbusch 6 0 2 4 2
18 Holzheimer SG 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Schonnebeck 7 28 8 +20 19
2 SF Baumberg 6 17 10 +7 14
3 Fortuna Düsseldorf II 7 16 5 +11 16
4 KFC Uerdingen 05 6 15 7 +8 10
5 SSVg Velbert 6 15 11 +4 12
6 Monheim 6 13 10 +3 8
7 SC St. Tönis 6 13 11 +2 11
8 Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. 6 12 15 -3 7
9 Solingen-Wald 6 10 13 -3 9
10 Germania Ratingen 6 10 13 -3 5
11 SW Essen 6 9 14 -5 5
12 Scherpenberg 6 9 15 -6 5
13 Sonsbeck 6 8 5 +3 10
14 BW Dingden 6 8 6 +2 10
15 Büderich 6 8 17 -9 5
16 Wuppertaler SV 7 7 10 -3 4
17 Holzheimer SG 7 7 26 -19 1
18 Meerbusch 6 2 11 -9 2
Oberliga - Niederrhein Germany. Oberliga - Niederrhein Predictions