Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Westfalen / Vreden vs Ennepetal

Vreden vs Ennepetal Statistics & Analysis

Vreden Vreden
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 76%
Ennepetal Ennepetal
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Vreden Vreden ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13207936

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Vreden win · Vreden 2–1 Ennepetal
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Oberliga - Westfalen
  • Fixture: Vreden vs Ennepetal
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Vreden 1.3 — Ennepetal 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Westfalen Oberliga - Westfalen — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gievenbeck 10 7 1 2 22
2 Vreden 9 6 1 2 19
3 Eintracht Rheine 9 6 0 3 18
4 Erkenschwick 9 5 3 1 18
5 Maaslingen 9 5 1 3 16
6 Lippstadt 08 9 5 1 3 16
7 Sprockhovel 9 4 2 3 14
8 Verl II 9 4 2 3 14
9 ASC Dortmund 9 4 1 4 13
10 Arminia II 9 3 3 3 12
11 Preußen Münster II 9 3 3 3 12
12 Westfalia Kinderhaus 9 3 3 3 12
13 TuS Hordel 9 2 4 3 10
14 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 9 3 0 6 9
15 Victoria Clarholz 9 2 2 5 8
16 Hiltrup 9 2 1 6 7
17 Ennepetal 9 0 5 4 5
18 Schermbeck 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sprockhovel 9 25 17 +8 14
2 Vreden 9 25 19 +6 19
3 ASC Dortmund 9 23 19 +4 13
4 Gievenbeck 10 21 13 +8 22
5 Victoria Clarholz 9 21 22 -1 8
6 Eintracht Rheine 9 20 13 +7 18
7 Verl II 9 19 16 +3 14
8 Maaslingen 9 18 14 +4 16
9 Lippstadt 08 9 17 15 +2 16
10 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 9 17 23 -6 9
11 Erkenschwick 9 15 9 +6 18
12 Arminia II 9 14 12 +2 12
13 Preußen Münster II 9 14 12 +2 12
14 TuS Hordel 9 14 17 -3 10
15 Westfalia Kinderhaus 9 11 13 -2 12
16 Ennepetal 9 10 23 -13 5
17 Hiltrup 9 8 20 -12 7
18 Schermbeck 8 7 22 -15 1
Oberliga - Westfalen Germany. Oberliga - Westfalen Predictions