Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Westfalen / Gievenbeck vs Arminia II

Gievenbeck vs Arminia II Statistics & Analysis

Gievenbeck Gievenbeck
Sep 19, 2026 - 13:30
2 1.36
0 1.24
xG Accuracy: 60%
Arminia II Arminia II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Gievenbeck Gievenbeck ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8678336

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Gievenbeck win · Gievenbeck 2–0 Arminia II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Westfalen
  • Fixture: Gievenbeck vs Arminia II
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Gievenbeck 1.36 — Arminia II 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Oberliga - Westfalen Oberliga - Westfalen — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gievenbeck 7 5 1 1 16
2 Maaslingen 7 5 1 1 16
3 Eintracht Rheine 7 5 0 2 15
4 Erkenschwick 7 4 3 0 15
5 Lippstadt 08 7 4 1 2 13
6 Vreden 7 4 1 2 13
7 Verl II 7 3 2 2 11
8 Westfalia Kinderhaus 7 3 1 3 10
9 ASC Dortmund 6 3 0 3 9
10 TuS Hordel 7 2 3 2 9
11 Sprockhovel 7 2 2 3 8
12 Arminia II 7 2 2 3 8
13 Victoria Clarholz 7 2 1 4 7
14 Preußen Münster II 7 1 3 3 6
15 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 7 2 0 5 6
16 Ennepetal 7 0 5 2 5
17 Hiltrup 7 1 1 5 4
18 Schermbeck 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Sprockhovel 7 21 16 +5 8
2 Vreden 7 19 18 +1 13
3 Eintracht Rheine 7 17 10 +7 15
4 Victoria Clarholz 7 17 17 0 7
5 Gievenbeck 7 16 6 +10 16
6 Maaslingen 7 16 9 +7 16
7 ASC Dortmund 6 14 13 +1 9
8 Lippstadt 08 7 12 10 +2 13
9 Verl II 7 12 12 0 11
10 Arminia II 7 11 10 +1 8
11 Erkenschwick 7 10 6 +4 15
12 TuS Hordel 7 10 10 0 9
13 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 7 10 16 -6 6
14 Preußen Münster II 7 9 10 -1 6
15 Ennepetal 7 9 15 -6 5
16 Westfalia Kinderhaus 7 8 10 -2 10
17 Hiltrup 7 5 17 -12 4
18 Schermbeck 6 4 15 -11 1
Oberliga - Westfalen Germany. Oberliga - Westfalen Predictions