Statistics / Football / Macao. Primeira Divisão / Chiba vs CPK

Chiba vs CPK Statistics & Analysis

Chiba Chiba
Jul 26, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.04
5 1.56
xG Accuracy: 29%
CPK CPK
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 CPK CPK ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1454255

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result CPK win · Chiba 0–5 CPK
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Primeira Divisão
  • Fixture: Chiba vs CPK
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-26 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 23.7% · Draw 28.5% · Away 47.8%
  • xG (showing): Chiba 1.04 — CPK 1.56 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Primeira Divisão Primeira Divisão — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Shao Jiang 13 10 2 1 32
2 CPK 12 9 1 2 28
3 Jia Hua 12 8 1 3 25
4 Chiba 12 6 3 3 21
5 Cheng Fung 13 5 4 4 19
6 Benfica 12 4 4 4 16
7 Gorilla of the Universe 12 4 1 7 13
8 Hang Sai 12 2 3 7 9
9 Artilheiros 12 2 2 8 8
10 Universidade de Macau 12 0 1 11 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 CPK 12 57 9 +48 28
2 Shao Jiang 13 52 13 +39 32
3 Jia Hua 12 35 16 +19 25
4 Chiba 12 33 21 +12 21
5 Gorilla of the Universe 12 32 51 -19 13
6 Cheng Fung 13 23 19 +4 19
7 Benfica 12 23 28 -5 16
8 Hang Sai 12 18 28 -10 9
9 Artilheiros 12 15 62 -47 8
10 Universidade de Macau 12 7 48 -41 1