Casa Pia U19 vs SC Farense U19 Statistics & Analysis

Casa Pia U19

Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00

4 1.36

2 1.24

xG Accuracy: 39%

SC Farense U19

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Casa Pia U19 Casa Pia U19 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:04 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13229624

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Casa Pia U19 win · Casa Pia U19 4–2 SC Farense U19

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Júniores U19
Fixture: Casa Pia U19 vs SC Farense U19
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Casa Pia U19 1.36 — SC Farense U19 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Júniores U19 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Porto U19	6	4	1	1	13
1	Sporting CP U19	6	5	1	0	16
2	Gil Vicente U19	6	3	2	1	11
2	Benfica U19	6	4	2	0	14
3	Sporting Braga U19	6	3	1	2	10
3	Oriental U19	6	3	2	1	11
4	Vitoria Guimaraes U19	7	3	1	3	10
4	Santa Clara U19	6	3	1	2	10
5	Feirense U19	6	3	1	2	10
5	Mafra U19	6	2	2	2	8
6	Rio Ave U19	6	2	2	2	8
6	Torreense U19	6	2	1	3	7
7	Famalicão U19	7	2	2	3	8
7	Casa Pia U19	6	1	2	3	5
8	Academico Viseu U19	6	2	1	3	7
8	SC Farense U19	6	1	1	4	4
9	Moreirense U19	6	2	1	3	7
9	Alverca U19	6	0	3	3	3
10	Vizela U19	6	1	0	5	3
10	União Leiria U19	6	0	3	3	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Benfica U19	6	16	5	+11	14
2	Porto U19	6	13	4	+9	13
3	Santa Clara U19	6	13	7	+6	10
4	Sporting CP U19	6	11	3	+8	16
5	Academico Viseu U19	6	9	6	+3	7
6	Torreense U19	6	9	9	0	7
7	Famalicão U19	7	8	11	-3	8
8	Oriental U19	6	7	5	+2	11
9	Sporting Braga U19	6	7	5	+2	10
10	Vitoria Guimaraes U19	7	7	9	-2	10
11	Moreirense U19	6	7	9	-2	7
12	Alverca U19	6	7	12	-5	3
13	Mafra U19	6	6	12	-6	8
14	SC Farense U19	6	6	12	-6	4
15	Vizela U19	6	6	17	-11	3
16	Gil Vicente U19	6	5	2	+3	11
17	Rio Ave U19	6	5	4	+1	8
18	Feirense U19	6	5	5	0	10
19	Casa Pia U19	6	5	7	-2	5
20	União Leiria U19	6	5	13	-8	3