Karlsruher SC vs Shimizu S-pulse Statistics & Analysis

Karlsruher SC

Jul 18, 2026 - 14:30

1 1.30

xG Accuracy: 85%

Shimizu S-pulse

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Karlsruher SC Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 03:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1545644

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Karlsruher SC 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Club Friendlies
Fixture: Karlsruher SC vs Shimizu S-Pulse
Kickoff: 2026-07-18 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.8% · Draw 28.0% · Away 32.1%
xG (showing): Karlsruher SC 1.3 — Shimizu S-Pulse 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.5% · Probability edge: +6.3 pts · Est. EV: +9.3%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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